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Live prediction market odds for Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras

ITF Men·2026-09-26

Best price · tap to trade

Michele Mecarelli89¢1.12xKalshiDragos Nicolae Madaras8¢12.50xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Michele Mecarelli about a 91.7% chance. Dragos Nicolae Madaras follows at 7.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.2 percentage points.

Traders give Michele Mecarelli about a 91.7% chance. Dragos Nicolae Madaras follows at 7.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.2 percentage points.

Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras: ITF Men's World Tennis Tour match scheduled for 2026-09-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MM
Michele MecarelliARB
91%
Kalshi89¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket95¢
Kalshi1.13x89¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
88.0%87¢89¢11¢13¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.0%90¢92¢8¢10¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.0%93¢95¢5¢7¢
DN
Dragos Nicolae MadarasARB
7%
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%9¢11¢89¢91¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.2%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Michele Mecarelli

91.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Michele Mecarelli ITF match scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras odds?

The latest available prices are Michele Mecarelli: 88.5¢ on Kalshi, 94.7¢ on Polymarket, 92.0¢ on Polymarket US; Dragos Nicolae Madaras: 10.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.3¢ on Polymarket, 8.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Michele Mecarelli vs. Dragos Nicolae Madaras prediction market payouts work?

For example, Michele Mecarelli at 91.7¢ implies about a 91.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
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Trader up $14K lifetime bet $523 on Michele Mecarelli at 89¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM15 Telavi: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Michele MecarelliTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.3M lifetime bet $3.2K on Dragos Nicolae Madaras at 85¢

2d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM15 Telavi: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Michele MecarelliTrade on Polymarket US →