Traders give Slovan Bratislava about a 67.0% chance. Slavia Prague follows at 13.0%, Lille follows at 11.3%, and Sabah follows at 8.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.5 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: League Phase Bottom of Table
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Villarreal finishes at the bottom of the table in the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish last in the league phase, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the outcome of the League Phase Bottom of Table market?
The outcome is determined by the team that finishes last in the league standings at the end of the league phase. Performance in matches and points accumulated will affect market odds.
How do team performances impact the odds in this market?
Odds change based on each team's performance, including wins, losses, and draws throughout the league phase. As teams gain or lose points, the likelihood of finishing at the bottom shifts.
When does trading close for this market?
Trading closes on February 11, 2027, which is the deadline for determining the final standings. The market will resolve shortly after the conclusion of the league phase.
What does the League Phase Bottom of Table prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest League Phase Bottom of Table odds?
The latest available prices are Slovan Bratislava: 66.5¢ on Kalshi, 67.5¢ on Polymarket; Slavia Prague: 12.0¢ on Kalshi, 14.1¢ on Polymarket; Lille: 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 15.5¢ on Polymarket; Sabah: 7.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.