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Live prediction market odds for Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Browse historical results
Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger

ITF Men·2026-09-23

Best price · tap to trade

Sebastian Sorger4¢25.00xKalshiStepan Baum27¢3.70xPolymarket US
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 28

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Sebastian Sorger about a 45.5% chance. Stepan Baum follows at 75.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 72.9 percentage points.

Traders give Sebastian Sorger about a 45.5% chance. Stepan Baum follows at 75.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 72.9 percentage points.

Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger: ITF Men's World Tennis Tour match scheduled for 2026-09-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
SB
Stepan BaumARB
75%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US27¢
Polymarket100¢
Polymarket US3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
26.0%25¢27¢73¢75¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
SS
Sebastian SorgerARB
45%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US73¢
Polymarket60¢
Kalshi28.57x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
72.0%71¢73¢27¢29¢
PolymarketPolymarket
59.0%58¢60¢40¢42¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread72.9%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Sebastian Sorger

45.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan Baum ITF match scheduled for Sep 23, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger odds?

The latest available prices are Sebastian Sorger: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 60.0¢ on Polymarket, 73.0¢ on Polymarket US; Stepan Baum: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 27.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 72.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Stepan Baum vs. Sebastian Sorger prediction market payouts work?

For example, Sebastian Sorger at 45.5¢ implies about a 45.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

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Trader up $1.6M lifetime bet $528 on Stepan Baum at 88¢

5d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM25 Pardubice: Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan BaumTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.6M lifetime bet $504 on Stepan Baum at 84¢

5d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM25 Pardubice: Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan BaumTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.6M lifetime bet $540 on Sebastian Sorger at 90¢

5d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM25 Pardubice: Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan BaumTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $3.9M lifetime bet $535 on Stepan Baum at 49¢

5d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USM25 Pardubice: Sebastian Sorger vs Stepan BaumTrade on Polymarket US →