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Live prediction market odds for LA-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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LA-06 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Republican95¢1.05xPolymarket USDemocratic6¢16.67xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Republican about a 94.0% chance. Democratic follows at 5.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Republican about a 94.0% chance. Democratic follows at 5.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the LA-06 House election. This market resolves based on the official election results announced on November 3, 2026, with odds fluctuating due to candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
R
Republican
94%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US95¢
Polymarket93¢
Polymarket US1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.6%93¢97¢4¢7¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.0%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
92.5%92¢93¢7¢8¢
D
Democratic
6%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket US6¢
Polymarket7¢
Polymarket US16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
6.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Republican

94.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: LA-06 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for LA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if a representative of the Republican Party wins the 2026 midterm election for the LA-06 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the LA-06 House winner market?

The market resolves based on the official election results for the LA-06 House seat. Results will be announced on November 3, 2026.

How do candidate campaigns affect the odds in this market?

Candidate campaigns can influence voter sentiment, which in turn affects the odds on prediction markets. As candidates engage in debates and outreach, market prices may shift accordingly.

When do the odds for the LA-06 House winner market typically change?

Odds in this market can change frequently, particularly as the election date approaches. Key events such as candidate announcements, polling results, and campaign developments can prompt shifts.

What does the LA-06 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest LA-06 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Republican: 94.6¢ on Kalshi, 92.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Democratic: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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