Live prediction market odds for TX-01 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-01 House Election held on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-01 House Election held on November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative agendas and national policies.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Nathaniel Moran (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Yolanda R. Prince (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national trends and party support can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate the collective wisdom of participants betting on outcomes, reflecting real-time sentiment. As new information emerges, such as candidate debates or endorsements, the odds adjust accordingly.
Winning the TX-01 seat could provide a critical advantage for either party in the House of Representatives. This election may also serve as a bellwether for broader political trends heading into the 2026 midterms.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
