Live prediction market odds for TX-21 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-21 House Election set for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the TX-21 House Election set for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in Texas.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Mark Teixeira (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Kristin Hook (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-21 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-21 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout. Additionally, national political trends and local issues will play a significant role.
TX-21 has historically leaned Republican, but demographic shifts and recent elections show potential for competitive races. Changes in voter registration and turnout can significantly impact results.
Winning the TX-21 seat could affect party control in the House, influencing legislative agendas. A shift in this district may also signal broader trends in Texas politics.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
