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Live prediction market odds for Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Josh Shapiro (D)98¢1.02xKalshiStacy Garrity (R)3¢33.33xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Josh Shapiro (D) about a 97.2% chance. Stacy Garrity (R) follows at 2.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.7 percentage points.

Traders give Josh Shapiro (D) about a 97.2% chance. Stacy Garrity (R) follows at 2.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.7 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election could influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a key focus for both local and national political strategies.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
JS
Josh Shapiro (D)
97%
Kalshi98¢
—
Polymarket98¢
Kalshi1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.5%97¢98¢2¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.8%96¢98¢2¢4¢
SG
Stacy Garrity (R)
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket US3¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi37.04x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%3¢3¢97¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
3.0%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.6%2¢3¢97¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Josh Shapiro (D)

Josh Shapiro is the 48th Governor of Pennsylvania, serving since January 2023. Prior to this, he was the Attorney General of Pennsylvania from 2017 to 2023. As governor, he has led bipartisan initiatives to invest in public education, enhance infrastructure, and protect individual freedoms.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.7%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Josh Shapiro (D)

97.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Pennsylvania pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner?

Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate fundraising efforts, and public sentiment. Key events such as debates and endorsements also play a critical role.

How do prediction markets work for elections like the Pennsylvania Governor race?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom and sentiment of the market participants.

What is at stake in the Pennsylvania Governor Election?

The outcome of the election will determine the leadership of Pennsylvania, impacting state legislation and governance. Additionally, it could affect the balance of power in the state legislature.

What does the Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Josh Shapiro (D): 97.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.8¢ on Polymarket; Stacy Garrity (R): 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.6¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Who Wins Pennsylvania Governor 2026? Garrity Drops from 50% to 6%Kalshi (7%) and Polymarket (6%) both confirm the drop, suggesting a rival entry absorbed her support across independent trading pools.Jul 8, 2026