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Live prediction market odds for Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

2028-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$1B29¢3.45xPredict.fun$6B17¢5.88xPolymarket$5B15¢6.67xPolymarket
Compare all 7 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $1B about a 24.8% chance. $6B follows at 24.1%, $5B follows at 23.9%, and $7B follows at 21.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 22.8 percentage points.

Traders give $1B about a 24.8% chance. $6B follows at 24.1%, $5B follows at 23.9%, and $7B follows at 21.3%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 22.8 percentage points.

Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$1B
25%
Polymarket30¢
Predict.fun29¢
Predict.fun3.45x29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
22.8%16¢30¢70¢85¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
26.7%24¢29¢71¢76¢
$
$6B
24%
Polymarket17¢
Predict.fun70¢
Polymarket5.88x17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
13.0%9¢17¢83¢91¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
35.2%0¢70¢30¢100¢
$
$5B
24%
Polymarket15¢
Predict.fun70¢
Polymarket6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
12.5%10¢15¢85¢90¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
35.3%1¢70¢30¢99¢
$
$7B
21%
Polymarket23¢
Predict.fun56¢
Polymarket4.37x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
14.5%6¢23¢77¢94¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
28.1%0¢56¢44¢100¢
$
$2B
17%
Polymarket19¢
Predict.fun21¢
Polymarket5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
13.5%8¢19¢81¢92¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
20.2%19¢21¢79¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread22.8%
Platforms2
Candidates7
Leader

$1B

24.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:45:37.28943949Z

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ odds?

The latest available prices are $1B: 22.8¢ on Polymarket, 26.7¢ on Predict.fun; $6B: 13.0¢ on Polymarket, 35.2¢ on Predict.fun; $5B: 12.5¢ on Polymarket, 35.3¢ on Predict.fun; $7B: 14.5¢ on Polymarket, 28.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 22.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ prediction market payouts work?

For example, $1B at 24.8¢ implies about a 24.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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