Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Live prediction market odds for Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Listed Updated
Traders give $5B about a 41.7% chance. $7B follows at 39.7%, $6B follows at 30.6%, and $1B follows at 21.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 56.4 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Ledger's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Ledger’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:45:37.28943949Z
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are $5B: 13.5¢ on Polymarket, 69.9¢ on Predict.fun; $7B: 23.5¢ on Polymarket, 55.9¢ on Predict.fun; $6B: 13.0¢ on Polymarket, 48.3¢ on Predict.fun; $1B: 29.8¢ on Polymarket, 13.6¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, $5B at 41.7¢ implies about a 41.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
