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Live prediction market odds for Palmeiras vs. Fluminense. Compare prices across .

Libertadores scoresBrowse historical markets
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Palmeiras vs. Fluminense

Libertadores · Wed, Oct 21, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/Libertadores/Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC
  1. FT
    PAL
    Penalty5-4

    M. Freitas

  2. FT
    PAL
    Penalty5-4

    J. Piquerez

  3. FT
    FLU
    Penalty5-4

    G. Arana

  4. FT
    PAL
    Penalty5-4

    R. Sosa

  5. FT
    FLU
    Penalty5-4

    H. Pereira Do Nascimento

  6. FT
    PAL
    Penalty5-4

    G. Gómez Portillo

  7. FT
    FLU
    Penalty5-4

    T. Silva

  8. FT
    PAL
    Penalty5-4

    Mauricio

  9. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    5 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  10. 87'
    FLU
    Substitution

    Luciano Acosta comes on for Ganso.

  11. 87'
    PAL
    Substitution

    Khellven Oliveira comes on for Agustín Giay.

  12. 87'
    PAL
    Substitution

    Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho comes on for Jhon Arias.

  13. 84'
    PAL
    Substitution

    Mauricio comes on for Andreas Pereira.

  14. 82'
    FLU
    Goal0-1

    H. Pereira Do Nascimento

  15. 79'
    FLU
    Substitution

    Samuel Xavier Brito comes on for Guga.

  16. 79'
    FLU
    Substitution

    Wesley Nata de Freitas Prado comes on for Agustin Canobbio.

  17. 76'
    PAL
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Jhon Arias.

  18. 63'
    PAL
    Substitution

    Ramon Sosa comes on for Jose Manuel Lopez.

  19. 56'
    FLU
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Hercules Pereira Do Nascimento.

  20. 49'
    PAL
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Alexander Barboza.

  21. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    3 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  22. 31'
    FLU
    Substitution

    I Da Silva Oliveira comes on for Julian Camilo Millan Díaz.

Full timeLibertadores · Nubank Parque
PALPalmeiras
5
FT
Full time
FLUFluminense FC
4
Pressure by minute
82' Pereira Do NascimentoFT MauricioFT SilvaFT Gómez PortilloFT Pereira Do NascimentoFT SosaFT AranaFT PiquerezFT FreitasHTFT
90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'FT
PAL5–4FLU
PAL attack →← FLU attack
Full time
Win chanceFTPAL win–Draw–FLU win–
FTPAL · Goal. Marlon Rodrigues Freitas (penalty).
FTPAL · Goal. Joaquin Piquerez (penalty).
FTFLU · Goal. Guilherme Arana (penalty).
FTPAL · Goal. Ramon Sosa (penalty).

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGGGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeLibertadores · Nubank Parque
PALPalmeiras
5
FT
Full time
FLUFluminense FC
4
  1. 82'Goal 0-1H. Pereira Do Nascimento
  2. FTPenalty 5-4Mauricio
  3. FTPenalty 5-4T. Silva
  4. FTPenalty 5-4G. Gómez Portillo
  5. FTPenalty 5-4H. Pereira Do Nascimento
  6. FTPenalty 5-4R. Sosa
  7. FTPenalty 5-4G. Arana
  8. FTPenalty 5-4J. Piquerez
  9. FTPenalty 5-4M. Freitas

Match replay

Pressure by minute
82' Pereira Do NascimentoFT MauricioFT SilvaFT Gómez PortilloFT Pereira Do NascimentoFT SosaFT AranaFT PiquerezFT FreitasHTFT
90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'FT
PAL5–4FLU
PAL attack →← FLU attack
Full time
Win chanceFTPAL win–Draw–FLU win–
FTPAL · Goal. Marlon Rodrigues Freitas (penalty).
FTPAL · Goal. Joaquin Piquerez (penalty).
FTFLU · Goal. Guilherme Arana (penalty).
FTPAL · Goal. Ramon Sosa (penalty).

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
PAL005
FLU014
PAL

Team stats

FLU
46%Possession54%
16Shots7
6On target5
2Corners4
26%Time attacking19%
5%Time in danger zone8%
12Fouls13
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards1

Match winner · 90 minutes

GGGGGGGGG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
FluminenseWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
Palmeiras
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Legal in USAVerified Nov 2, 2026

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Palmeiras vs. Fluminense

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Fluminense wins the Palmeiras vs Fluminense professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Palmeiras vs Fluminense professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Fluminense FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC Copa Libertadores match scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from CONMEBOL.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
FluminenseWINNER
17¢
Draw
28¢
Palmeiras
57¢

Market recap

Fluminense won. At kick-off the market gave Fluminense a 17% chance, behind Palmeiras at 57%. Goals: H. Pereira Do Nascimento 82', Mauricio FT (pen.), T. Silva FT (pen.), G. Gómez Portillo FT (pen.), H. Pereira Do Nascimento FT (pen.), R. Sosa FT (pen.), G. Arana FT (pen.), J. Piquerez FT (pen.) and M. Freitas FT (pen.). Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on Fluminense.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the Palmeiras vs. Fluminense prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Palmeiras vs. Fluminense odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Palmeiras vs. Fluminense odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Palmeiras vs. Fluminense prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.