Live prediction market odds for Love Island UK S13: Winners. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-31
This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Julia was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
JuliaWINNER | 99% |
Lorenzo | 99% |
Martha | 3% |
Mica | 2% |
Aidan | 1% |
Angelista | 1% |
Charleen | 1% |
Chidi | 1% |
Ellie | 1% |
Finley | 1% |
George | 1% |
Halle | 1% |
Jasmine | 1% |
Jordon | 1% |
Kavan | 1% |
Lola | 1% |
Namibia | 1% |
Ope | 1% |
Priya | 1% |
Robyn | 1% |
Sam | 1% |
Samraj | 1% |
Sean | 1% |
Tina | 1% |
Tommy S | 1% |
Will | 1% |
Yasmine | 1% |
Aaron | 0% |
Carlos | 0% |
Mara | 0% |
Nevaeh | 0% |
Olivia | 0% |
Julia
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Aidan is officially declared the winner of Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
The competitor must be officially announced as the winner of the competition's final installment (season finale, grand final, or equivalent) by the official broadcaster, production company, or through official channels. If multiple competitors are declared joint winners or tied winners, all such competitors resolve to Yes. If a competitor is disqualified, removed, or voluntarily withdraws before the final announcement and is not declared an official winner, the market resolves to No. If a winner is later stripped of the title or disqualified after the finale announcement, the original declaration governs resolution. If the competition is canceled or concluded without an official winner announcement, the market resolves to No. Secondary titles such as "fan favorite," "Miss Congeniality," or "America's Choice" do not qualify as winning unless explicitly specified. For team-based competitions, if the strike is for a team, any individual still on that team at competition end who wins will also resolve their individual market to Yes. If a prospective winner declines the trophy or award, they are only NOT considered winners if the official announcement was conditional on their acceptance.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Julia: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Lorenzo: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Martha: 3.0¢ on Kalshi; Mica: 2.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, Julia at 99.0¢ implies about a 99.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
