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Live prediction market odds for Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?. Compare prices across Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Max Martin14¢7.14xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Max Martin about a 14.0% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket.

Traders give Max Martin about a 14.0% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will attend the wedding of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce. This event garners attention due to the couple's celebrity status and the potential for high-profile guests, influencing public interest and media coverage.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MM
Max Martin
single venue14%
Polymarket14¢
Polymarket7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
14.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Max Martin

Max Martin is a Swedish record producer and songwriter. He has written or co-written 29 Billboard Hot 100 number-one singles, including Taylor Swift's 'Shake It Off' and 'Blank Space'. His extensive collaboration with Swift makes him a key figure in her musical projects.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ABCAxiosBillboardCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCPoliticoReutersSemaforthe Associated PressThe InformationThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostUSA TodayVogue
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates1
Leader

Max Martin

14.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Max Martin attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Virtual attendance counts as attendance unless the event is explicitly in-person only. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance. The event must occur in the specified year. If the event is cancelled, postponed beyond the expiration date, or does not occur in the specified year, the market resolves to No.

Resolution Oracles
ABCAxiosBillboardCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCPoliticoReutersSemaforthe Associated PressThe InformationThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostUSA TodayVogue
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence attendance predictions for the wedding?

Factors include the couple's personal relationships, industry connections, and public appearances leading up to the event. Media speculation and social media interactions also play a role in shaping expectations.

How do prediction markets work for this event?

Prediction markets allow participants to place bets on the likelihood of specific guests attending the wedding. Prices fluctuate based on market sentiment and emerging news about the couple and their social circles.

Why is this wedding a topic of interest in prediction markets?

The wedding of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce attracts attention due to their fame and the potential for a star-studded guest list. Public fascination with celebrity relationships drives engagement in prediction markets surrounding the event.

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Max Martin: 14.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Phoebe Bridgers Jumps to 73% to Attend a Wedding Not Yet AnnouncedKalshi and Polymarket agree within 2 points; the market resolves December 31, 2026, making this a nested bet on two unconfirmed variables.Jul 1, 2026Will Blake Lively Attend Taylor Swift's Wedding? Odds Hit 28%Bettors moved Lively from 20% to 28% in three days with no catalyst. Kalshi sits at 20% while Polymarket prices her at 37%.Jun 27, 2026Blake Lively at 21% for Swift-Kelce Wedding After No-Invite ConfirmedAn 8-percentage-point drop in 3 days as sources confirm no invitation. Lively's camp is reportedly planning a counter-move for July 3rd.Jun 24, 2026Jared Goff Drops to 16% to Attend Swift-Kelce WeddingGoff's probability fell 14 percentage points in 72 hours with no news. Kalshi has him at 13%, Polymarket at 20%, and no public evidence ties him to either host.May 16, 2026