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Live prediction market odds for Manchester United vs Leeds United. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Predict.fun

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Manchester United vs Leeds United

2026-08-12

Best price · tap to trade

Manchester United1¢100.00xKalshiDraw (Manchester United vs. Leeds United)99¢1.01xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Manchester United about a 35.3% chance. Draw (Manchester United vs. Leeds United) follows at 61.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 76.0 percentage points.

Traders give Manchester United about a 35.3% chance. Draw (Manchester United vs. Leeds United) follows at 61.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 76.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Manchester United and Leeds United on August 12, 2026. The outcome of this match could impact league standings and fan morale, making it a key event in the football calendar.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
Predict.fun
Best price
MU
Manchester UnitedARB
35%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US54¢
Polymarket51¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
53.0%52¢54¢46¢48¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%49¢51¢49¢51¢
D(
Draw (Manchester United vs. Leeds United)ARB
60%
Kalshi99¢
—
Polymarket23¢
Predict.fun99¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.0%21¢23¢77¢79¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread76.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Manchester United

35.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Manchester United vs Leeds United

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Manchester United wins the Manchester United vs Leeds United professional Club Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Manchester United vs Leeds United professional Club Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Manchester United vs Leeds United Club Friendlies match scheduled for 2026-08-12 2:30PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from Participating clubs.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 12, 2026 If Manchester United wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is at stake in the Manchester United vs Leeds United match?

The match could influence the Premier League standings, affecting both teams' chances for European qualification. Additionally, the rivalry adds intensity to the competition.

How do prediction markets reflect the match's outcome?

Prediction markets aggregate bets on the match outcome, providing insights into public sentiment and expectations. Odds fluctuate based on team performance, injuries, and historical data.

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Key factors include team form, player injuries, and head-to-head statistics. Fan support and home advantage also play a role in shaping market expectations.

What does the Manchester United vs Leeds United prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Manchester United vs Leeds United odds?

The latest available prices are Manchester United: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 54.0¢ on Polymarket US; Draw (Manchester United vs. Leeds United): 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available