About This Market
Traders give Oregon Ducks about a 89.7% chance. Michigan State Spartans follows at 47.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 78.0 percentage points.
Live prediction market odds for Oregon Ducks vs. Michigan State Spartans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.
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Traders give Oregon Ducks about a 89.7% chance. Michigan State Spartans follows at 47.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 78.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket US
PolymarketKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Underdog.
KalshiIf Oregon wins the Oregon vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Oregon and Michigan State, originally scheduled for Friday, November 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Oregon vs Mich. State college football game scheduled for November 20, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
UnderdogORE @ MSU Moneyline: Oregon to win in ORE @ MSU; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Oregon Ducks: 83.0¢ on Kalshi, 92.0¢ on Polymarket, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Michigan State Spartans: 15.5¢ on Kalshi, 32.0¢ on Polymarket, 93.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 78.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Oregon Ducks at 89.7¢ implies about a 89.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.