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Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-31

This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.

About This Market

Baltimore Orioles vs.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-08-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Connor Norby Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Ezequiel Tovar Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tanner Gordon Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Tanner Gordon Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Tanner Gordon Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Troy Johnston Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Total under 14.5
———99%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Hunter Goodman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%98%
Tanner Gordon Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——98%—
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 3.5
———96%
Zac Veen Under 0.5 Home Runs
———94%
Willi Castro Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 4.5
———91%
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
———89%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%82%
Hunter Goodman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——79%99%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——68%94%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——77%83%
Total under 12.5
———79%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER
99%79%53%87%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 2.5
——66%89%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———77%
Total under 13.5
———69%
Total under 8.5
———69%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.5
——57%80%
Total under 7.5
———68%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
Total under 11.5
——54%71%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———62%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.0
———62%
Hunter Goodman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Jackson Holliday Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Jake McCarthy Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Connor Norby Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Total under 6.5
———60%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Tanner Gordon Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—59%—
Ezequiel Tovar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Zac Veen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Gunnar Henderson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total under 10.5
——45%70%
Tanner Gordon Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——99%57%
Total over 14.5
1%——56%
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total over 11.0
———55%
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
54%——55%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total under 10.0
———54%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Troy Johnston Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Troy Johnston Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total under 9.5
——38%68%
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total over 10.0
———52%
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total under 11.0
———51%
Jackson Holliday Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Tanner Gordon Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%50%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
49%——49%
Connor Norby Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Home Runs
6%—90%—
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jake McCarthy Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Zac Veen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—90%—
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—90%—
Hunter Goodman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Total over 10.5
1%—55%35%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
45%———
Hunter Goodman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%——46%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.0
———45%
Total over 6.5
1%——44%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———44%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
43%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%———
Total over 11.5
1%—46%33%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%———
Total over 5.5
1%——38%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
37%———
Total over 7.5
1%——36%
Total over 8.5
1%——36%
Total over 13.5
1%——35%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%—43%27%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases
33%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——62%
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——27%
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits
27%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases
26%———
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
———26%
Total over 12.5
1%——25%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Colorado Rockies
1%21%48%16%
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Total over 9.5
1%—4%37%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
20%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5
———20%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—23%16%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases
18%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases
16%———
Colorado Rockies spread minus 4.5
———15%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———15%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases
14%———
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%13%
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases
12%———
Willi Castro Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
11%———
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.5
1%—5%16%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
9%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Total Bases
9%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 RBIs
9%———
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——9%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%—11%8%
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Zac Veen Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%8%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——12%
Tanner Gordon Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—12%—
Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——10%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 RBIs
7%———
Pete Alonso Over 6.5 Total Bases
7%———
Colorado Rockies spread minus 2.5
5%—6%21%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases
6%———
Troy Johnston Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—90%6%
Gunnar Henderson Over 6.5 Total Bases
5%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Connor Norby Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Tanner Gordon Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%—6%—
Hunter Goodman Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits
4%———
Pete Alonso Over 7.5 Total Bases
4%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits
3%———
Tanner Gordon Over 1.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Tanner Gordon Over 2.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Tanner Gordon Over 4.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Tanner Gordon Over 5.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Tanner Gordon Over 6.5 Earned Runs
3%———
Hunter Goodman Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Home Runs
2%———
Tanner Gordon Over 3.5 Earned Runs
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
1%———
Over 15.5 runs scored
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
1%———
Tanner Gordon Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Tanner Gordon Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Tanner Gordon Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Tanner Gordon Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——1%99%
Tanner Gordon Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread47.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Baltimore Orioles

79.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 31 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-31 at 8:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 52.5¢ on Polymarket, 86.7¢ on ProphetX, 79.0¢ on Polymarket US; Colorado Rockies: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.0¢ on Polymarket, 16.1¢ on ProphetX, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 47.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 79.3¢ implies about a 79.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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