Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Bo Bichette Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Bo Bichette Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Carson Benge Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Carson Benge Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Carson Benge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Dylan Beavers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Dylan Beavers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Dylan Beavers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jared Young Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jared Young Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jared Young Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Juan Soto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Juan Soto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Pete Alonso Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Pete Alonso Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Samuel Basallo Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Samuel Basallo Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	100%	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	98%	96%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	96%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5	100%	—	95%	100%	95%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER	100%	47%	94%	95%	98%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	94%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	93%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	89%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	87%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5	—	—	66%	88%	82%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	82%
Gunnar Henderson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Samuel Basallo Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	79%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	76%	80%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5	—	—	60%	—	88%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5	100%	—	52%	100%	93%
Heston Kjerstad Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	69%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	78%	—	—	0%	57%
Heston Kjerstad Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	67%
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	—	100%	65%
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	63%
Total under 10.5	—	—	41%	—	84%
Heston Kjerstad Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	61%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	61%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	60%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	58%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	58%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	58%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	57%
Total under 9.5	—	—	36%	100%	79%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	57%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	55%	—	—	0%	59%
Robert Stock Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	60%	52%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	56%	—	—	0%	—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	54%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	54%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	53%
Robert Stock Over 4.5 Strikeouts	53%	—	—	40%	56%
Chris Bassitt Over 3.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	41%	62%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	51%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	51%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	51%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	50%	—	—	0%	53%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	83%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	17%	84%
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	76%	25%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	50%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	50%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	50%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Robert Stock Over 7.5 Strikeouts	15%	—	—	84%	—
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	49%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	49%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	49%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	48%	94%	10%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	47%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Robert Stock Over 2.5 Strikeouts	88%	—	—	2%	—
Total under 8.5	—	—	45%	17%	79%
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	0%	—
Chris Bassitt Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	41%	45%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	0%	59%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	43%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	0%	59%
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	40%	—	—	0%	—
Heston Kjerstad Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	40%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	100%	39%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	39%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	34%	—	—	0%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	33%	—	—	0%	—
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	31%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	1%	—	34%	0%	22%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5	—	—	40%	—	16%
Robert Stock Over 6.5 Strikeouts	27%	—	—	—	—
Total over 8.5	11%	—	55%	0%	25%
Total over 9.5	5%	—	65%	100%	25%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	39%	—	—	0%	11%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	22%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	21%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	21%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	21%
Total over 10.5	2%	—	59%	—	20%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	20%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	16%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	17%	18%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	16%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	16%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	15%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	15%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	15%
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	24%
Heston Kjerstad Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	0%	—
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	10%
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	6%	34%	9%
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	0%	—
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	0%	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	0%	12%
New York Mets	1%	53%	6%	6%	5%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	2%	—	—	1%	8%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	—
Robert Stock Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Chris Bassitt Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	0%	—
Chris Bassitt Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	0%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
A.J. Ewing Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Bo Bichette Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Carson Benge Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Chris Bassitt Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Dylan Beavers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Dylan Beavers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jared Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jared Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jared Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Samuel Basallo Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Samuel Basallo Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Samuel Basallo Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Samuel Basallo Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	0%	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	0%	—
Robert Stock Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 4.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York M wins the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

New York Mets in Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 16 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 94.5¢ on Polymarket, 97.8¢ on ProphetX, 47.0¢ on Polymarket US, 94.0¢ on Novig; New York Mets: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 5.1¢ on ProphetX, 53.0¢ on Polymarket US, 6.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 52.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 86.6¢ implies about a 86.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET)

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

MVP Winner?

Shi Han vs. Elvina Kalieva

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

Florida Panthers vs. San Jose Sharks

Related Markets

MVP Winner?

Shi Han vs. Elvina Kalieva

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

Florida Panthers vs. San Jose Sharks

Bai Zhuoxuan vs. Mina Hodzic

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET)

Baltimore Orioles Wins: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets (7:00 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

MVP Winner?

Shi Han vs. Elvina Kalieva

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

Florida Panthers vs. San Jose Sharks

Related Markets

MVP Winner?

Shi Han vs. Elvina Kalieva

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

Florida Panthers vs. San Jose Sharks

Bai Zhuoxuan vs. Mina Hodzic