Traders give Joe Burrow about a 31.8% chance. Josh Allen follows at 21.0%, Brock Purdy follows at 16.1%, and Jordan Love follows at 11.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.9 percentage points.
Joe Burrow is the starting quarterback for the Cincinnati Bengals. He led the Bengals to their first Super Bowl appearance in 2022 and was named the 2021 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Burrow's leadership and performance have been instrumental in the Bengals' resurgence as a competitive team.
About Josh Allen
Josh Allen is the quarterback for the Buffalo Bills. He was named NFL Most Valuable Player in 2024. Allen is regarded as one of the greatest dual-threat quarterbacks of all time.
About Brock Purdy
Brock Purdy is the starting quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers. He led the team to the NFC Championship Game in 2022. Purdy has maintained an undefeated record in regular-season starts, showcasing his consistent performance.
About Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence is the starting quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He was selected first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft after a standout career at Clemson University. Lawrence has been recognized for his leadership and performance, including a Pro Bowl selection in 2022.
About Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. He led the Chiefs to three Super Bowl victories and was named Super Bowl MVP three times. Mahomes is a two-time NFL Most Valuable Player and has been selected to six Pro Bowls.
About Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott is the starting quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. He led the NFL with 36 touchdown passes in 2023 and was a finalist for the AP NFL MVP award that year. Prescott's consistent performance and leadership have established him as a top quarterback in the league.
About Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson is the quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens. He won the NFL MVP award in 2019 and 2023. Jackson is recognized for his exceptional dual-threat capabilities, leading the league in quarterback rushing yards and setting multiple records for rushing touchdowns by a quarterback.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Pro Football MVP Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Joe Burrow wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the winner of the MVP market?
The winner is determined by the official announcement from the NFL, which occurs on February 15, 2027. This announcement follows the conclusion of the regular season and playoffs.
How do player performances affect the odds?
Odds fluctuate based on player statistics, game outcomes, and overall contributions to their teams throughout the season. Significant performances in key games can lead to shifts in market pricing.
When does the MVP market close?
The MVP market closes on February 15, 2027, coinciding with the official announcement of the winner. Betting on this market continues until that date.
What does the Pro Football MVP Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Pro Football MVP Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Joe Burrow: 32.5¢ on Kalshi, 31.1¢ on Polymarket, 29.8¢ on Predict.fun; Josh Allen: 21.5¢ on Kalshi, 20.5¢ on Polymarket, 22.3¢ on Predict.fun; Brock Purdy: 16.5¢ on Kalshi, 15.7¢ on Polymarket, 17.2¢ on Predict.fun; Jordan Love: 13.5¢ on Kalshi, 10.3¢ on Polymarket, 9.7¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.