Live prediction market odds for MVP Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Compare all 26 outcomes across 3 venuesTraders give Josh Allen about a 22.5% chance. Brock Purdy follows at 20.0%, Lamar Jackson follows at 14.5%, and Patrick Mahomes follows at 10.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Predict.funKalshiPolymarketPredict.funBest price among US-regulated venues.
Josh Allen
22.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Joe Burrow wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Josh Allen: 24.0¢ on Kalshi, 21.0¢ on Polymarket, 21.2¢ on Predict.fun; Brock Purdy: 18.5¢ on Kalshi, 21.6¢ on Polymarket, 20.1¢ on Predict.fun; Lamar Jackson: 12.0¢ on Kalshi, 17.0¢ on Polymarket, 17.9¢ on Predict.fun; Patrick Mahomes: 9.5¢ on Kalshi, 11.6¢ on Polymarket, 14.2¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Josh Allen at 22.5¢ implies about a 22.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
