About This Market
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26
This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 99% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Blaze Jordan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 96% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 94% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 89% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 93% |
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 92% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 92% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 99% | 83% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 89% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 89% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits | 89% | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 89% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 96% | 81% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Michael McGreevy Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 88% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 86% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Kyle Bradish Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 80% | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 80% | — |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 100% | 77% | 82% | 71% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 76% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Colton Cowser Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 87% | — | — | 52% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 70% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 67% |
Michael McGreevy Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 67% |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 64% |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 64% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Blaze Jordan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Kyle Bradish Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 50% | 62% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 12% |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Blaze Jordan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Kyle Bradish Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | 46% |
Colton Cowser Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Kyle Bradish Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 44% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 41% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 34% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 32% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases | 32% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 0% | 30% |
St. Louis Cardinals | 1% | 23% | 29% | 35% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 6% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 20% | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 18% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 18% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 100% | 16% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 27% |
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 15% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 25% | — | 1% | 5% |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 99% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 7% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | 90% | 13% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases | 13% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 24% |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | 1% | 11% |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 8% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 11% |
Blaze Jordan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 10% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 10% | — | 1% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 9% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases | 9% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 16% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 100% | 8% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | 10% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 1% | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael McGreevy Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Kyle Bradish Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Michael McGreevy Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Michael McGreevy Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Baltimore Orioles
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf St. Louis wins the Baltimore vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 26 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 7:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 82.0¢ on Polymarket, 70.6¢ on ProphetX, 77.0¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 29.0¢ on Polymarket, 34.7¢ on ProphetX, 23.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 34.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 82.3¢ implies about a 82.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.