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Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-15
This market resolved on 2026-08-15. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ian Seymour Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 89% | 95% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 97% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 96% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 98% |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 84% |
Ian Seymour Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 82% | — |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 72% | 88% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 65% | 93% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 99% | 71% | 76% | 91% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 61% | 88% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 58% | 91% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 59% | 88% |
Kyle Bradish Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | 97% |
Ian Seymour Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | 96% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Ian Seymour Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 69% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 68% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 86% | — | — | 45% |
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 65% |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 33% | 75% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Ian Seymour Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 50% | 47% |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 67% | 29% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 50% | 44% |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 40% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Ian Seymour Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 32% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 41% | 22% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 31% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 39% | 22% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 14% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 28% | 20% |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | 30% | 24% | 15% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 35% | 13% |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 20% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 17% | 15% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 10% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 15% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 8% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 11% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 11% | 12% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | — | 6% |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 6% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 2% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ian Seymour Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Bradish Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Franklin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kyle Bradish Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Kyle Bradish Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Franklin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
84.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Tampa Bay wins the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 15 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-15 at 6:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 76.0¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on ProphetX, 70.5¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket, 15.2¢ on ProphetX, 29.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 28.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 84.2¢ implies about a 84.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.