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Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-14
This market resolved on 2026-08-14. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 99% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Chris Bassitt Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 98% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 98% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 84% |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 99% | 85% | 43% | 84% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 83% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 68% | 91% |
Chris Bassitt Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 77% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 71% | 99% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 44% | 94% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 69% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 55% | 81% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 66% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Christian Franklin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 64% |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 63% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 82% | 45% |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Chris Bassitt Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 59% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 39% | 65% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 49% | 55% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 51% | 50% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 61% | 39% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 45% |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Christian Franklin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 18% | 67% |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Chris Bassitt Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 42% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 41% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 41% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 45% | 30% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 37% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 35% |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 56% | 10% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 59% | — | — | 7% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 30% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 25% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 24% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 32% | 13% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 9% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 18% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 11% |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | 15% | 57% | 10% |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 10% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 10% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | 12% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 9% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 6% |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
77.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket, 83.6¢ on ProphetX, 85.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 57.0¢ on Polymarket, 10.2¢ on ProphetX, 15.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 77.7¢ implies about a 77.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.