About This Market
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-11
This market resolved on 2026-09-11. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Baltimore Orioles vs.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 98% | 88% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 92% |
Total over 7.5 | 91% | — | — | 94% | 88% |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 100% | 43% | 91% | 100% | 96% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 96% | 82% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | — | 100% | 89% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 88% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% | 80% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | 84% | — | 78% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 100% | 77% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 56% | — | 91% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 57% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 56% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 56% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Total over 9.5 | 100% | — | 53% | 76% | 17% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 48% | 13% | 87% |
Josh Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 39% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | 52% | — | 25% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 38% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 36% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | 57% | — | 12% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 35% | 27% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 46% | 15% |
Total over 10.5 | 100% | — | 45% | — | 13% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 20% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 16% | 24% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 21% | 15% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | 16% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 15% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 12% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 3% | — | — | 0% | 21% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 1% | 58% | 10% | 0% | 6% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 3% | — |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Chris Bassitt Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Holliday Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Samuel Basallo Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
85.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baltimore vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigBaltimore Orioles in Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 11 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-11 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.2¢ on ProphetX, 42.5¢ on Polymarket US, 90.5¢ on Novig; Toronto Blue Jays: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 57.5¢ on Polymarket US, 9.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 57.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 85.7¢ implies about a 85.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.