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Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10

This market resolved on 2026-08-10. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.

About This Market

Boston Red Sox vs.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jameson Taillon Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jameson Taillon Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—51%—
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Total under 11.5
———99%
Anthony Seigler Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Connor Wong Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Masataka Yoshida Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%98%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———98%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5
———96%
Total under 10.5
———96%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%91%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
———92%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———92%
Total under 6.5
———91%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
——87%96%
Total under 5.5
———91%
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%89%
Sonny Gray Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—89%—
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs
——78%99%
Total under 8.5
——82%92%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%86%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
——78%90%
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——72%93%
Total under 7.5
——72%91%
Jameson Taillon Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%81%
Total under 9.5
——61%91%
Total under 4.5
———76%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——57%91%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——49%99%
Sonny Gray Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—72%—
Connor Wong Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—53%80%
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Connor Wong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Sonny Gray Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——47%83%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER
99%100%43%86%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Eli White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Anthony Seigler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———62%
Total under 7.0
———62%
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———58%
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total over 11.5
1%——56%
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total under 8.0
———54%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Connor Wong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total over 8.0
———52%
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Anthony Seigler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Eli White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0
———47%
Boston Red Sox
1%1%57%35%
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Total over 7.0
———46%
Jameson Taillon Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%——45%
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Connor Wong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0
———43%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total over 3.5
24%——58%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——34%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
——52%6%
Sonny Gray Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——28%—
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—43%12%
Total over 4.5
25%——28%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———20%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5
———19%
Total over 7.5
6%—28%19%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—28%10%
Total over 9.5
3%—39%19%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—22%13%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Jameson Taillon Over 7.5 Strikeouts
16%———
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs
——22%10%
Total over 6.5
10%——22%
Total over 5.5
11%——19%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%7%
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Total over 8.5
2%—18%12%
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%6%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——11%
Sonny Gray Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——11%—
Masataka Yoshida Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—13%8%
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%10%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%6%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%8%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%8%
Connor Wong Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%8%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———8%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—11%8%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
——2%12%
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——6%
Total over 10.5
3%——9%
Jameson Taillon Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jameson Taillon Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jameson Taillon Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sonny Gray Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Connor Wong Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jameson Taillon Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Connor Wong Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jameson Taillon Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——50%—
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread56.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Toronto Blue Jays

81.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Boston wins the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 10 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket, 86.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 57.0¢ on Polymarket, 34.9¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 81.9¢ implies about a 81.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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