About This Market
Boston Red Sox vs.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12
This market resolved on 2026-08-12. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Boston Red Sox vs.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Jose Soriano Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 98% |
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 97% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 88% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 88% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 71% | 91% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 73% | 82% |
Ranger Suarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 77% | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Ranger Suarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 85% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 68% |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Ranger Suarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 66% |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 60% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 38% | 81% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER | 99% | 100% | 59% | 99% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 49% | 68% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 26% | 90% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 71% | 40% |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 29% | 73% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 50% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Ranger Suarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 48% | 47% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 74% | 21% |
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 62% | 30% |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 51% | 38% |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 43% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Jose Soriano Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 41% |
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 37% |
Ranger Suarez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 35% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 34% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Jose Soriano Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 22% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 29% | 20% |
Boston Red Sox | 1% | 1% | 41% | 8% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 24% |
Ranger Suarez Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 23% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 21% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 19% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 12% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 11% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 12% | 6% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 6% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 7% |
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 6% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jarren Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 6% |
Masataka Yoshida Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ranger Suarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jose Soriano Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Masataka Yoshida Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Masataka Yoshida Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays
89.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Boston wins the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Boston vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 12 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 7:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 59.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Boston Red Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 41.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.8¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 40.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 89.1¢ implies about a 89.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.