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Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago White Sox Wins: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29

This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Chicago White Sox vs.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Erick Fedde Over 0.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Erick Fedde Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Bailey Ober Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Erick Fedde Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Erick Fedde Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Erick Fedde Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Erick Fedde Over 6.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Erick Fedde Over 7.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5
———97%
Bailey Ober Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——96%—
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5
——92%95%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5
——99%93%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Total under 10.5
——87%95%
Chicago White SoxWINNER
99%86%100%96%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%98%
Trevor Larnach Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Total under 5.5
———89%
Total under 9.5
——90%87%
Bailey Ober Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——89%—
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
——97%80%
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5
———88%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%94%
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs
——74%99%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5
———86%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
——90%80%
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Total under 7.5
———80%
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5
———77%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
75%———
Total under 11.5
———74%
Total under 8.5
——71%73%
Total under 12.5
———71%
Total under 6.5
———69%
Bailey Ober Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%63%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——62%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0
———59%
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%58%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0
———58%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——57%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total over 9.0
———56%
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——57%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%——54%
Erick Fedde Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%51%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——55%
Erick Fedde Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%50%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 9.0
———50%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
47%——50%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0
———48%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%——52%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0
———47%
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——47%
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——48%
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Bailey Ober Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%44%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——45%
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits
42%———
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%39%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%———
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%——48%
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%———
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%———
Total over 6.5
1%——35%
Total over 12.5
1%——33%
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
6%——56%
Total over 8.5
1%—29%32%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits
30%———
Total over 11.5
1%——30%
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%——53%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits
29%———
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5
1%——26%
Total over 7.5
1%——24%
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits
24%———
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—20%—
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—20%—
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—20%—
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—20%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—10%25%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5
———17%
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%13%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits
15%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits
15%———
Total over 5.5
1%——15%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5
———15%
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—3%25%
Total over 9.5
1%—10%16%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—17%9%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits
12%———
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—15%9%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—20%—
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—20%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—20%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—28%11%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Total over 10.5
1%—13%9%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
1%—1%11%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%10%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—14%10%
Minnesota Twins
1%14%0%6%
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%7%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
1%—8%9%
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%8%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits
8%———
Bailey Ober Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—8%—
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——7%
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—12%6%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——9%
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—6%7%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——8%
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——6%
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—20%3%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——5%
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Bailey Ober Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—3%—
Bailey Ober Over 1.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Erick Fedde Over 2.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Erick Fedde Over 3.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Earned Runs
1%———
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Erick Fedde Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Erick Fedde Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Erick Fedde Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Bailey Ober Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Erick Fedde Under 0.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Erick Fedde Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits
0%———
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—100%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread13.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Chicago White Sox

95.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Chicago WS vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 29 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 2:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 86.0¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 14.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 13.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago White Sox at 95.2¢ implies about a 95.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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