About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Erick Fedde Over 0.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Erick Fedde Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Erick Fedde Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Bailey Ober Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 96% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 92% | 95% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 93% |
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 87% | 95% |
Chicago White SoxWINNER | 99% | 86% | 100% | 96% |
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 98% |
Trevor Larnach Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 90% | 87% |
Bailey Ober Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 89% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 97% | 80% |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 94% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 74% | 99% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 90% | 80% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 75% | — | — | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 71% | 73% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 71% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 69% |
Bailey Ober Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 63% |
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 62% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 58% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 57% |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 57% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 54% |
Erick Fedde Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 51% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 55% |
Erick Fedde Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 50% |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 50% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 52% |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 47% |
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 48% |
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Bailey Ober Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 44% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 45% |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | 42% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 39% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | 48% |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 35% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 33% |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | — | 56% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 32% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits | 30% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 30% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | 53% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits | 29% | — | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 25% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 18% | 13% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 25% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 16% |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 17% | 9% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits | 12% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 9% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 20% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 20% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 20% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 28% | 11% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 13% | 9% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 11% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 10% |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 14% | 10% |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | 14% | 0% | 6% |
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 11% | 7% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 8% | 9% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 8% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 8% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 7% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 12% | 6% |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 9% |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 6% | 7% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 8% |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 6% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 20% | 3% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 3% | — |
Bailey Ober Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Erick Fedde Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Erick Fedde Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Bailey Ober Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Erick Fedde Under 0.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Erick Fedde Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 100% | — |
Chicago White Sox
95.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Chicago WS vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 29 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 2:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 86.0¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 14.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 13.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago White Sox at 95.2¢ implies about a 95.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.