About This Market
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
Chicago White Sox vs.
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dean Kremer Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dean Kremer Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dean Kremer Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dean Kremer Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dean Kremer Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Castillo Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 96% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 92% |
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 0% | 95% |
Trevor Larnach Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 92% |
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 98% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 98% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 92% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 92% | 91% |
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Chicago White SoxWINNER | 99% | 91% | 97% | 91% |
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 92% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | 88% | — | — | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 83% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 83% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | — |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 81% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 79% | 77% |
Dean Kremer Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 78% | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 64% | 83% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 94% | — | — | 52% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 73% |
Luis Castillo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 64% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Brenton Doyle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Brenton Doyle Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 63% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 72% | — | — | 53% |
Dean Kremer Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 63% | 61% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | 62% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 36% | 83% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 65% | — | — | 54% |
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Luis Castillo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 57% |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Dean Kremer Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 63% | 44% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 87% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Luis Castillo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 47% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Brenton Doyle Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 65% | 24% |
Brenton Doyle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 42% |
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Dean Kremer Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 78% | — |
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 39% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 36% |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 57% | 12% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 41% | 27% |
Total over 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 31% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 36% | 21% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 27% |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 1% | 23% |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 17% | 24% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Dean Kremer Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Luis Castillo Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 16% |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | 16% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 10% |
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 11% | 19% |
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 14% | 13% |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 11% | 14% |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 11% | 11% |
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 8% |
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 14% | 10% |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | 9% | 5% | 11% |
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 9% |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 17% | 8% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 13% |
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 7% |
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 4% | 9% |
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 5% | 7% |
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 9% |
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 5% | 11% |
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 5% | 6% |
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | 6% |
Dean Kremer Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Luis Castillo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Josh Bell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Luis Castillo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Chicago White Sox
94.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago WS wins the Chicago WS vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Chicago WS vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 28 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 8:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 91.1¢ on ProphetX, 91.0¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 11.1¢ on ProphetX, 9.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 10.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago White Sox at 94.5¢ implies about a 94.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.