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Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26

This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.

About This Market

Cincinnati Reds vs.

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Nick Lodolo Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Nick Lodolo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Nick Lodolo Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Nick Lodolo Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Nick Lodolo Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Nick Lodolo Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%99%
Landen Roupp Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——98%—
Landen Roupp Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——98%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%99%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%99%
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Landen Roupp Over 2.5 Strikeouts
92%———
Total over 8.5
99%—100%92%
Total over 9.0
———91%
Total over 3.5
99%——91%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5
1%—0%90%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5
———90%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5
———89%
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
99%93%87%86%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5
1%—0%86%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5
——80%91%
Total over 6.5
99%—99%85%
Total over 4.5
99%——84%
Total over 5.5
99%——84%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—83%—
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%
Buddy Kennedy Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Total over 7.0
———81%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5
——73%83%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Total under 12.5
———75%
Total over 9.5
99%——75%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
———74%
Total under 11.5
———74%
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——70%
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Buddy Kennedy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——66%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
64%———
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Andrew Knizner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
———61%
Total over 8.0
———61%
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
85%——33%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Nick Lodolo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%57%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5
1%——56%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Total under 10.5
———55%
Landen Roupp Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
55%———
Landen Roupp Over 5.5 Strikeouts
54%—55%57%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%54%
Nick Lodolo Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%54%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0
———53%
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——58%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
———51%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Andrew Knizner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
Total over 10.5
99%——49%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
———48%
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Total under 8.0
———48%
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Landen Roupp Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——45%47%
Buddy Kennedy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——46%
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Total under 7.5
——0%44%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0
———43%
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Landen Roupp Over 3.5 Strikeouts
81%—2%—
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——39%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——38%
Landen Roupp Over 4.5 Strikeouts
70%—2%—
Landen Roupp Over 6.5 Strikeouts
36%———
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——34%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——33%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
1%—27%36%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 4.5
———31%
Total over 11.5
99%——31%
Total under 7.0
———30%
Total under 9.5
———30%
Total over 12.5
99%——29%
Total under 4.5
———27%
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
27%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits
26%———
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs
44%——8%
Total under 6.5
——1%24%
Landen Roupp Over 7.5 Strikeouts
21%———
Total under 5.5
———21%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
——100%20%
Total under 3.5
———17%
Total under 8.5
——0%16%
Total under 9.0
———15%
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs
8%——21%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
——100%14%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5
———13%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%13%
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases
13%———
San Francisco Giants
1%7%13%17%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
5%—20%13%
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%12%
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%11%
Landen Roupp Over 8.5 Strikeouts
10%———
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%9%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——9%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——6%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%6%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—9%6%
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%7%
Landen Roupp Over 9.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—10%5%
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——8%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—6%4%
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——5%
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%4%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——3%
Buddy Kennedy Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——5%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Nick Lodolo Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Nick Lodolo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nick Lodolo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nick Lodolo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nick Lodolo Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Nick Lodolo Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Nick Lodolo Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Nick Lodolo Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—100%—
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—99%—
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
99%—1%—
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread15.7%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

91.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 26 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 3:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 85.5¢ on ProphetX, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.0¢ on Polymarket, 16.7¢ on ProphetX, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cincinnati Reds at 91.1¢ implies about a 91.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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