About This Market
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26
This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Landen Roupp Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 98% | — |
Landen Roupp Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 98% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Landen Roupp Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 92% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 92% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 90% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Cincinnati RedsWINNER | 99% | 93% | 87% | 86% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 86% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 80% | 91% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 85% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 84% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 84% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 83% | — |
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Buddy Kennedy Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 81% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 73% | 83% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 75% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 70% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Buddy Kennedy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 66% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 64% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Andrew Knizner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 85% | — | — | 33% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Nick Lodolo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 57% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 56% |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 55% |
Landen Roupp Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 55% | — | — | — |
Landen Roupp Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 54% | — | 55% | 57% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 54% |
Nick Lodolo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 54% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 58% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Andrew Knizner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 48% |
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Landen Roupp Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 45% | 47% |
Buddy Kennedy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 46% |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 44% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Landen Roupp Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 81% | — | 2% | — |
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 39% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 38% |
Landen Roupp Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 70% | — | 2% | — |
Landen Roupp Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 36% | — | — | — |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 34% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 33% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 36% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 31% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 31% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 30% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 30% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 29% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 44% | — | — | 8% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 1% | 24% |
Landen Roupp Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 21% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 20% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 16% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 15% |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 8% | — | — | 21% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 14% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 13% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | 13% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants | 1% | 7% | 13% | 17% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 5% | — | 20% | 13% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 12% |
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 11% |
Landen Roupp Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 10% | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 9% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 6% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 9% | 6% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 7% |
Landen Roupp Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 10% | 5% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 8% |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 6% | 4% |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 5% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 4% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 3% |
Buddy Kennedy Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Nick Lodolo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Nick Lodolo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Nick Lodolo Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 100% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Cincinnati Reds
91.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 26 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 3:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 87.0¢ on Polymarket, 85.5¢ on ProphetX, 93.0¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.0¢ on Polymarket, 16.7¢ on ProphetX, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 15.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cincinnati Reds at 91.1¢ implies about a 91.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.