Traders give Junior about a 86.0% chance. Sophomore follows at 40.0%, Senior/Graduate follows at 27.0%, and Freshman follows at 8.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 26.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Class of Heisman Trophy Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If a player who is designated as a Senior or Graduate student is the 2026 Heisman Trophy winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
Class designation is based on the school classification of the 2026 Heisman Trophy winner at the time the award is officially announced. Redshirt status does not change a player's class designation. For example, a redshirt sophomore is considered a sophomore, regardless of how many seasons they have played in college football.
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This market resolves according to the academic class of the player who wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy, as officially listed for the 2026 college football season.
The outcome corresponding to the winner's class will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No".
The winner's "class" is the eligibility class officially designated for that player for the 2026 season by their school and/or the official Heisman/NCAA records at the time the award is presented. Where a player's class is listed with a redshirt designation (e.g., "redshirt sophomore"), the underlying class (sophomore) governs. Graduate students and any player in a fifth year or beyond are counted under "Senior."
If official sources conflict on the winner's class, resolution will follow the class listed by the player's own school on its official 2026 roster. If the class cannot be determined from official sources, this market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.
If no 2026 Heisman Trophy is awarded, this market will resolve "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com) and the winning player's school; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracleheisman.comConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Heisman Trophy?
The Heisman Trophy is awarded annually to the most outstanding player in college football in the United States. It is one of the most prestigious awards in sports.
How is the Heisman Trophy winner determined?
The winner is determined by a voting process conducted by the Heisman Trophy Trust, which includes sports journalists, former winners, and other stakeholders. Votes are cast based on players' performances throughout the college football season.
When does the voting for the Heisman Trophy take place?
Voting for the Heisman Trophy typically occurs in early December, shortly after the conclusion of the regular college football season. The results are announced during the Heisman Trophy ceremony in January.
What does the Class of Heisman Trophy Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Class of Heisman Trophy Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Junior: 73.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket; Sophomore: 43.0¢ on Kalshi, 37.0¢ on Polymarket; Senior/Graduate: 27.0¢ on Kalshi; Freshman: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 13.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.