About This Market
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-24
This market resolved on 2026-08-24. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Chase Burns Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ivan Johnson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Turner Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Buddy Kennedy Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 98% | 94% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 95% |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
San Francisco GiantsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 94% | 99% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 96% | 84% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 92% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 86% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 71% | 90% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 80% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 60% | 91% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Chase Burns Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 49% | 99% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 52% | 84% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Ivan Johnson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 33% | 93% |
Chase Burns Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 75% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Buddy Kennedy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Carson Whisenhunt Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 58% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 57% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Carson Whisenhunt Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 56% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 31% | 82% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 24% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Ivan Johnson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 8% |
Buddy Kennedy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 76% | 15% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 5% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Turner Hill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 55% | 15% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 29% |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 28% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 24% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 18% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 1% | 18% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 33% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 26% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 14% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 11% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 7% | 14% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 2% | — | — | 18% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | 1% | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Ivan Johnson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 8% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Buddy Kennedy Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Cincinnati Reds | 1% | 1% | 7% | 3% |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 5% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 4% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 4% |
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Chase Burns Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Chase Burns Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chase Burns Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Chase Burns Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
San Francisco Giants
97.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 24, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 24 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-24 at 9:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 93.5¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Cincinnati Reds: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.5¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Francisco Giants at 97.8¢ implies about a 97.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.