About This Market
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-25
This market resolved on 2026-08-25. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Cincinnati Reds vs.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants (9:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian Houser Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Brady Singer Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Turner Hill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 97% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 97% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 96% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 96% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
Grant McCray Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 85% | 97% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 89% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Brady Singer Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 87% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 73% | 99% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 78% | 90% |
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 79% | 99% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 76% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 74% | 99% |
San Francisco GiantsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 51% | 96% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 73% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Brady Singer Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 71% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 68% | — |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 68% | — |
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Nate Furman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 65% |
Grant McCray Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Adrian Houser Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 64% | — | — | — |
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Adrian Houser Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 51% | — | 99% | 60% |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 54% | — | — | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Grant McCray Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | 40% |
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Nate Furman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 43% | — | — | — |
Adrian Houser Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 43% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Adrian Houser Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 39% | — | — | — |
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 35% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 34% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 53% | 14% |
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 32% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds | 1% | 1% | 49% | 6% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 24% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Brady Singer Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 24% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 22% | 21% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 19% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 5.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 17% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 15% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Brady Singer Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 15% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 12% | 17% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 21% | 8% |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 8% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 12% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 8% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 11% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 12% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 11% | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 11% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 11% | 10% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 12% | 10% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Adrian Houser Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 10% | — | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 4% | — | 14% | 9% |
Adrian Houser Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 9% | — | — | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 10% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 2% | — | 27% | 9% |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 8% |
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 8% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 5% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 3% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 3% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Grant McCray Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Adrian Houser Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Adrian Houser Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Adrian Houser Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Adrian Houser Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Adrian Houser Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brady Singer Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 0% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Adrian Houser Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Adrian Houser Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Brady Singer Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Brady Singer Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Brady Singer Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants
86.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 25 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-25 at 9:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.9¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Cincinnati Reds: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.8¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Francisco Giants at 86.4¢ implies about a 86.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.