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Live prediction market odds for Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Colorado Rockies Wins: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12

This market resolved on 2026-08-12. Colorado Rockies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Colorado Rockies vs.

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Connor Norby Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Brett Sullivan Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Zac Veen Under 0.5 Home Runs
———96%
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Colorado RockiesWINNER
99%95%100%94%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Ezequiel Tovar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%92%
Ryan Feltner Over 1.5 Strikeouts
——91%—
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.5
——99%90%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Max Kepler Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Ketel Marte Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%98%
Hunter Goodman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%97%
Kyle Karros Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%97%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5
——98%78%
Total under 10.5
——84%89%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5
———84%
Total over 5.5
———84%
Total over 8.5
——100%83%
Connor Norby Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———82%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 4.5
———82%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.5
——100%81%
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———81%
Merrill Kelly Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Merrill Kelly Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Total under 12.5
———80%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ezequiel Tovar Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Hunter Goodman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Willi Castro Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Colorado Rockies spread plus 2.5
——92%66%
Total under 11.5
———78%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5
———77%
Total over 6.5
———76%
Corbin Carroll Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 3.5
———75%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0
———70%
Ryan Feltner Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——81%57%
Hunter Goodman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Total under 13.5
———69%
Brett Sullivan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Brett Sullivan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Total over 7.5
———66%
Ryan Feltner Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———65%
Connor Norby Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total over 9.5
——100%65%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Max Kepler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Ezequiel Tovar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Gabriel Moreno Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Jordan Beck Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Ryan Feltner Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——81%39%
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Willi Castro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Zac Veen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Ryan Waldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0
———55%
Total over 10.0
———55%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total over 9.0
———53%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total under 10.0
———51%
Merrill Kelly Over 4.5 Strikeouts
——48%55%
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Merrill Kelly Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——52%48%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Brett Sullivan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Total under 9.0
———49%
Zac Veen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.0
———46%
Connor Norby Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jordan Beck Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ryan Feltner Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———44%
Brett Sullivan Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Gabriel Moreno Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———36%
Total under 7.5
———36%
Total over 13.5
———33%
Total over 10.5
——16%47%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.0
———32%
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———30%
Connor Norby Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———29%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 3.5
———27%
Total under 6.5
———27%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 4.5
———26%
Total over 11.5
———25%
Total over 12.5
———22%
Total under 9.5
——0%22%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5
——8%35%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5
———21%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5
——0%21%
Total under 5.5
———21%
Total under 8.5
——0%20%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 3.5
———19%
Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%13%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 2.5
——2%25%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%13%
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5
——1%13%
Zac Veen Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Willi Castro Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Max Kepler Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Kyle Karros Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Ryan Feltner Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——10%—
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%7%
Brett Sullivan Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%7%
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Connor Norby Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Arizona Diamondbacks
1%5%0%6%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Hunter Goodman Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Max Kepler Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Merrill Kelly Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Merrill Kelly Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Waldschmidt Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Willi Castro Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Colorado Rockies

97.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Colorado wins the Colorado vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Colorado vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 12 at 3:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 3:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Colorado Rockies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.2¢ on ProphetX, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.2¢ on ProphetX, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Colorado Rockies at 97.0¢ implies about a 97.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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