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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
Brett Bateman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
Riley Greene Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Brett Bateman Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
George Springer Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
George Springer Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
George Springer Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
George Springer Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Nathan Lukes Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Riley Greene Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Riley Greene Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Riley Greene Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%	—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%	—
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%	—
Keider Montero Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	97%	—
Riley Greene Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%	—
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	96%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	89%
Dillon Dingler Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	85%	99%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	92%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	85%	98%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	90%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	90%	—
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER	100%	55%	89%	99%	97%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	84%	93%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	77%	99%
Gleyber Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	87%	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	86%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5	—	—	86%	87%	99%
Colt Keith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	86%	—	—	91%	46%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	96%	75%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	96%	74%
Max Clark Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	98%	65%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	91%	72%
Total under 8.5	—	—	72%	97%	81%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	79%
Riley Greene Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	74%	83%
Dillon Dingler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	95%	61%
Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	91%	63%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	77%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	74%	71%
Riley Greene Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	88%	—	—	100%	54%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	85%	—	—	100%	55%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	91%	50%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	86%	—	—	100%	54%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	67%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5	100%	—	64%	100%	69%
John Peck Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	1%	63%
Colt Keith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	63%
Hao-Yu Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	63%
Brett Callahan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—	63%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	59%
Keider Montero Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	59%	59%
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	70%	—	—	—	47%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	58%
Kevin McGonigle Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	98%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	58%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	57%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	56%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	56%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	—	—	56%
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	100%	55%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	98%	10%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	53%
Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	50%	56%
Kevin McGonigle Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
Riley Greene Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	51%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	51%
Total over 6.5	1%	—	61%	—	41%
Total under 6.5	—	—	40%	—	62%
Keider Montero Under 0.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	50%	—
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	50%	—
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	50%	—
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	50%	—
Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	50%	—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
Brett Callahan Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	49%
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	49%
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	50%	49%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	49%
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	49%	—
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	47%
Spencer Torkelson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	47%
John Peck Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	47%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	46%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	—	—	—	50%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	45%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	44%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	43%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	—	—
Keider Montero Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	41%	45%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	43%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5	100%	—	40%	94%	40%
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	40%
Max Clark Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	39%	—	—	19%	45%
Hao-Yu Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	—	—	50%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 1.5	—	—	37%	0%	33%
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	—	—	—
Hao-Yu Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs	48%	—	—	1%	13%
Detroit Tigers spread plus 2.5	—	—	60%	6%	29%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	—	26%	29%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	—	—
Riley Greene Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	—	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	46%	—
Riley Greene Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	26%	22%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	28%	3%	24%
Riley Greene Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	—	—
Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	1%	19%
Brett Bateman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	—	—
Dillon Dingler Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	—	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	18%	17%
Kevin McGonigle Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	—	—
Detroit Tigers spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	4%	28%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	16%	15%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	23%	8%
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	18%	13%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	11%
Brett Callahan Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	16%	14%
Detroit Tigers spread minus 1.5	1%	—	15%	13%	36%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	—	—
Detroit Tigers spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	14%
Dillon Dingler Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	—	—
Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	13%	—
Riley Greene Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	—	—
Dillon Dingler Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	—	—
Detroit Tigers	1%	45%	12%	1%	5%
George Springer Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	1%	—
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	11%	10%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	15%
Max Clark Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	1%	10%
John Peck Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	10%	10%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	10%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	8%
Brett Bateman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	—	—
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	8%	7%
Nathan Lukes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	—	—	—
Total over 9.5	5%	—	—	4%	31%
Alejandro Kirk Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	4%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Brett Bateman Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Dillon Dingler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—	—
Dillon Dingler Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
George Springer Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Keider Montero Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Kevin McGonigle Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Max Scherzer Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Riley Greene Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	99%	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 4.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Toronto Blue Jays in Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 16 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 3:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.3¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US, 88.5¢ on Novig; Detroit Tigers: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.2¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US, 11.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 44.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 87.9¢ implies about a 87.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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