About This Market
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-13
This market resolved on 2026-09-13. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hayden Wesneski Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 88% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 87% |
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER | 99% | 53% | 83% | 100% | 89% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 82% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 80% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% | 64% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 39% | 94% | 77% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | — | 74% |
Total over 5.5 | 100% | — | — | — | 74% |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | — | — | — | 74% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 74% | 68% |
Total over 9.5 | 94% | — | — | 100% | 38% |
Freddy Peralta Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 0% | 64% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — | 63% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 44% | — | 81% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 42% | 96% | 60% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Hayden Wesneski Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 10.5 | 81% | — | — | — | 31% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 0% | 54% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 1% | 52% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — | 51% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Hayden Wesneski Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — | 51% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% | 51% |
Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 100% | 50% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 23% | 76% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | 47% |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Freddy Peralta Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 58% | 4% | 44% |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 40% |
Total over 11.5 | 100% | — | 56% | — | 23% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 39% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 38% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — | 26% | 34% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 30% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 29% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 61% | 6% | 25% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 9% | 40% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 23% | 25% |
Houston Astros | 1% | 48% | 17% | 0% | 15% |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Hayden Wesneski Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 RBIs | 28% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 RBIs | 8% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases | 32% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Hayden Wesneski Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Total Bases | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 RBIs | 27% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Total Bases | 38% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits | 12% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Total Bases | 23% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 3.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 8% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 RBIs | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Total Bases | 36% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Total Bases | 13% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays
81.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigHouston Astros in Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 13 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-13 at 1:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 88.6¢ on ProphetX, 52.5¢ on Polymarket US, 83.0¢ on Novig; Houston Astros: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 14.7¢ on ProphetX, 47.5¢ on Polymarket US, 17.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 47.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 81.0¢ implies about a 81.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.