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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-11

This market resolved on 2026-09-11. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Total under 8.5	—	—	—	96%	98%
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	95%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	95%
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	93%	95%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	91%	95%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5	—	—	57%	86%	85%
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	72%	95%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	72%	85%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	64%	89%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	76%
Total under 5.5	—	—	55%	—	83%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	67%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	64%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	64%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER	99%	60%	65%	60%	71%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Taylor Trammell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	56%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	—	55%
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	54%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	51%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	51%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Total over 4.5	1%	—	61%	—	39%
Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	48%
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	41%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	41%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	40%
Houston Astros	1%	41%	35%	42%	31%
Total over 5.5	1%	—	46%	—	21%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5	99%	—	43%	99%	18%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	21%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	19%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5	1%	—	—	0%	19%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	19%
Taylor Trammell Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	18%
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	17%
Total over 6.5	15%	—	—	1%	16%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	13%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	9%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	—	1%	9%
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	8%	9%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5	3%	—	—	0%	9%
Total over 8.5	5%	—	—	4%	6%
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Christian Walker Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Daulton Varsho Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Drew Rasmussen Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Isaac Paredes Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 9.5	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the Houston vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Houston vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Tampa Bay Rays in Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 11 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-11 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 59.5¢ on Polymarket, 70.6¢ on ProphetX, 59.5¢ on Polymarket US, 65.0¢ on Novig; Houston Astros: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 41.5¢ on Polymarket, 31.2¢ on ProphetX, 40.5¢ on Polymarket US, 35.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 40.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 70.7¢ implies about a 70.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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