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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Kansas City Royals was the officially declared outcome.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Carter Jensen Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Carter Jensen Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Christian Walker Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Christian Walker Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Daulton Varsho Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Isaac Paredes Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Isaac Paredes Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jac Caglianone Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jac Caglianone Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jac Caglianone Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jeremy Pena Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jose Altuve Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jose Altuve Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jose Altuve Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Jose Altuve Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Nick Loftin Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Nick Loftin Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Salvador Perez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	97%
Daniel Lynch IV Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Total under 10.5	—	—	92%	99%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	95%
Total under 9.5	—	—	93%	96%
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	94%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5	—	—	88%	97%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5	95%	69%	96%	85%
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	90%
Total under 8.5	—	65%	97%	86%
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	85%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	84%
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	83%	—	—	—
Cristian Javier Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	82%	—
Cristian Javier Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	82%	—
Daniel Lynch IV Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	82%	—
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Christian Walker Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Nick Loftin Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Salvador Perez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	81%
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	79%
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs	1%	79%	—	78%
Christian Vazquez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	79%
Total under 6.5	—	75%	—	78%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	76%
Kyle Isbel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	76%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5	—	53%	1%	99%
Daniel Lynch IV Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	82%	68%
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	67%
Daniel Lynch IV Over 2.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	82%	65%
Christian Vazquez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	73%
Yordan Alvarez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	63%
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	59%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	70%
Kyle Isbel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	69%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5	89%	—	22%	68%
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	68%	—	1%	—
Jeremy Pena Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	65%
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	65%
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	66%	—	—	62%
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Total over 5.5	100%	55%	—	71%
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	60%
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	58%	—	1%	61%
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	59%
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	56%	—	1%	60%
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5	—	—	79%	35%
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	56%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	92%	19%
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	55%
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5	1%	—	88%	21%
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	0%	53%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	53%
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	52%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	52%
Cristian Javier Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	48%	55%
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	51%
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	47%	—	1%	52%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	50%	—
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	50%
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	50%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	50%
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	49%	—	1%	50%
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Cristian Javier Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	48%	50%
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	49%
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	45%	—	0%	50%
Total over 4.5	100%	—	—	47%
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	47%
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Isaac Collins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Jeremy Pena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	42%
Nick Loftin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	40%
Total under 5.5	—	45%	—	34%
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	59%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	19%	56%
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	50%
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	50%
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	33%
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5	1%	47%	1%	19%
Daniel Lynch IV Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	18%	46%
Daniel Lynch IV Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	18%	42%
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	41%
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	30%	—	19%	44%
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	29%	—	—	—
Jose Altuve Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	19%	—
Total over 6.5	100%	25%	—	26%
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	32%	—	19%	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	—
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5	—	21%	—	26%
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	19%	24%
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs	21%	—	19%	22%
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	21%
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	82%	20%
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	0%	—
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	—
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	19%
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5	—	31%	17%	19%
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	19%	—
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	—
Jose Altuve Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	—
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	1%	—
Salvador Perez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	19%	—
Cristian Javier Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	18%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	19%	17%
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	85%	17%
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	16%
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	15%
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	15%
Jose Altuve Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	0%	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	1%	22%
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	19%	—
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	14%	14%
Total over 8.5	6%	35%	10%	18%
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	0%	—
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	12%
Daniel Lynch IV Over 6.5 Strikeouts	4%	—	18%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	20%	—
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	11%
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	10%
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	0%	17%
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	1%	16%
Isaac Paredes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	1%	—
Total over 9.5	2%	—	93%	8%
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	0%	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	1%	—
Isaac Paredes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	0%	—
Jose Altuve Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	1%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	1%	—
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Carter Jensen Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	1%	—
Daniel Lynch IV Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	—
Daulton Varsho Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Daulton Varsho Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Daulton Varsho Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Daulton Varsho Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Isaac Paredes Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Jac Caglianone Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Jeremy Pena Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Nick Loftin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Yordan Alvarez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Cristian Javier Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	99%	—
Houston Astros	—	—	—	—
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—
Kansas City RoyalsWINNER	—	—	—	—
Over 13.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 7.5	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Kansas City Royals in Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 16 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 8:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

Kansas City Royals Wins: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros (8:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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