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Live prediction market odds for Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·2026-09-15

Best price · tap to trade

Arizona Diamondbacks1¢100.00xKalshiMiami Marlins40¢2.50xNovig

About This Market

Traders give Arizona Diamondbacks about a 51.5% chance. Miami Marlins follows at 65.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 82.5 percentage points.

Traders give Arizona Diamondbacks about a 51.5% chance. Miami Marlins follows at 65.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 82.5 percentage points.

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET): MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
Miami MarlinsMiami MarlinsARB
65%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US45¢
Novig40¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX46¢
Novig2.53x40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
44.0%43¢45¢55¢57¢
NovigNovig
39.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
45.0%44¢46¢54¢56¢
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona DiamondbacksARB
51%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US55¢
Novig61¢
Polymarket59¢
ProphetX83¢
Kalshi200.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
54.0%53¢55¢45¢47¢
NovigNovig
60.0%59¢61¢39¢41¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
ProphetXProphetX
82.0%81¢83¢17¢19¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Spread

ARB 35¢
Best price
ARI -1.5
Kalshi1¢
Novig11¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX39¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
MIA +1.5
Kalshi99¢
Novig89¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX64¢
ProphetX1.57x64¢

Totals

ARB 45¢
Best price
O 7.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX47¢
Kalshi200.00x1¢
U 7.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX54¢
ProphetX1.84x54¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread82.5%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Arizona Diamondbacks

51.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Arizona wins the Miami vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Miami vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Arizona Diamondbacks in Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 15 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are Arizona Diamondbacks: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 58.5¢ on Polymarket, 83.0¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US, 60.5¢ on Novig; Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 45.8¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US, 39.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 82.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Arizona Diamondbacks at 51.5¢ implies about a 51.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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