Live prediction market odds for Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knights. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Traders give UCF Knights about a 59.0% chance. Arizona State Sun Devils follows at 41.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiIf Arizona St. wins the Arizona St. vs UCF college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigArizona State Sun Devils in Arizona State @ UCF (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and UCF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game. This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Arizona State vs UCF college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
UnderdogASU @ UCF Moneyline: Arizona St to win in ASU @ UCF; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are UCF Knights: 59.5¢ on Kalshi, 59.5¢ on Polymarket, 59.2¢ on ProphetX, 58.3¢ on Polymarket US, 58.8¢ on Novig; Arizona State Sun Devils: 41.5¢ on Kalshi, 40.5¢ on Polymarket, 40.8¢ on ProphetX, 41.8¢ on Polymarket US, 41.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, UCF Knights at 59.0¢ implies about a 59.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
