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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Minnesota Twins Wins: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-18

This market resolved on 2026-09-18. Minnesota Twins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	98%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	98%
Grayson Rodriguez Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	98%	—
Grayson Rodriguez Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	98%	—
Jose Siri Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	97%
Connor Prielipp Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	97%	—
Connor Prielipp Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	97%	—
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	96%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	96%
Zach Neto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	96%
Mike Trout Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	95%	—
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	97%	93%
Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	89%	98%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	92%
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	88%	93%
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	98%
Mike Trout Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	85%	95%
Denzer Guzman Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	89%	—
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	94%	81%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	87%	—
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	87%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	87%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	87%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	78%	95%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	85%	—
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	—	84%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	83%	—
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	83%	—
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	82%
Jose Siri Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	81%
Mike Trout Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 3.5	—	—	79%	—	81%
Connor Prielipp Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	97%	62%
Total under 7.5	—	—	45%	96%	79%
Oswald Peraza Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	77%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	71%
Oswald Peraza Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	68%
Christian Moore Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Oswald Peraza Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Wade Meckler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Grayson Rodriguez Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	65%
Walker Jenkins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Mike Trout Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	73%	54%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	63%
Ben Ross Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Kyren Paris Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5	99%	—	39%	84%	61%
Travis d'Arnaud Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Total over 6.5	1%	—	71%	—	48%
Jose Siri Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	67%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	94%	23%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Grayson Rodriguez Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	56%	57%
Denzer Guzman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	61%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	60%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	60%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	55%	96%	25%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 2.5	—	—	55%	12%	66%
Minnesota TwinsWINNER	99%	55%	50%	99%	77%
Total under 8.5	—	—	55%	3%	74%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.5	1%	—	—	97%	11%
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	54%	52%
Vaughn Grissom Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	55%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	54%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	54%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Connor Prielipp Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	43%	60%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	50%	53%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	90%	—	—	50%	53%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Zach Neto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	53%
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	52%
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	50%	52%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	51%	—
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	38%	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Brooks Lee Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Denzer Guzman Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	32%	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Josh Bell Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kody Clemens Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kody Clemens Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kody Clemens Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Kody Clemens Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Luke Keaschall Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Mike Trout Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Royce Lewis Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Ryan Jeffers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Ryan Jeffers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	50%	—
Zach Neto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	32%	—	—	50%	—
Zach Neto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	50%	—
Zach Neto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Zach Neto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Zach Neto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	—
Total under 6.5	—	—	30%	—	70%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	50%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	50%
Denzer Guzman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	49%
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	49%	—
Ben Ross Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Kyren Paris Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	47%
Emmanuel Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Travis d'Arnaud Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Grayson Rodriguez Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	44%	49%
Jose Siri Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%	43%
Los Angeles Angels	1%	46%	50%	1%	24%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5	99%	—	46%	12%	97%
Jose Siri Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	45%
Walker Jenkins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Christian Moore Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Oswald Peraza Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Wade Meckler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.5	—	—	62%	16%	43%
Connor Prielipp Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	43%	41%
Total over 5.5	1%	—	—	—	41%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	41%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	41%
Total over 3.5	1%	—	41%	—	—
Grayson Rodriguez Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	40%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	40%
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	—	33%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	46%	3%	29%
Connor Prielipp Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	3%	48%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5	1%	—	21%	—	21%
Total over 12.5	1%	—	—	—	20%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	20%
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	—
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	18%
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	18%	—
Los Angeles A wins by over 3.5 runs	1%	—	—	—	17%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	—	17%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	17%	—
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	17%	—
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	15%	—
Emmanuel Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	16%	10%
Travis d'Arnaud Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	13%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	12%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	8%	13%
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	15%	6%
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	10%	10%
Jose Siri Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	12%	8%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	12%	7%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	99%	9%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%	10%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	9%	9%
Oswald Peraza Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	8%
Denzer Guzman Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	11%	5%
Vaughn Grissom Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%	6%
Walker Jenkins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	6%
Connor Prielipp Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	3%	—
Grayson Rodriguez Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	2%	—
Grayson Rodriguez Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	2%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Minnesota Twins in Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for September 18 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-18 at 9:38PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Minnesota Twins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 77.4¢ on ProphetX, 54.5¢ on Polymarket US, 50.0¢ on Novig; Los Angeles Angels: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 24.5¢ on ProphetX, 45.5¢ on Polymarket US, 50.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 49.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Minnesota Twins at 70.2¢ implies about a 70.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Minnesota Twins Wins: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Minnesota Twins Wins: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Minnesota Twins Wins: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Minnesota Twins Wins: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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