About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10
This market resolved on 2026-08-10. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryce Elder Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Elder Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jim Jarvis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jorge Polanco Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Sean Murphy Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Austin Riley Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Mauricio Dubon Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Ozzie Albies Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
New York MetsWINNER | 99% | 98% | 78% | 99% |
Bryce Elder Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 96% |
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 93% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 95% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 93% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Michael Harris II Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 86% | 93% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 92% | 86% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 94% |
Matt Olson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 97% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 86% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Bryce Elder Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 84% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 97% | 69% |
Christian Scott Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 82% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 97% | 62% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | 57% |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 59% | 96% |
Jorge Polanco Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 62% | 91% |
Jorge Polanco Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 99% |
Jim Jarvis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 73% |
Christian Scott Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 85% |
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 49% | 80% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jim Jarvis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Matt Olson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 58% | — | — | — |
Bryce Elder Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 57% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | — |
Jim Jarvis Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Mike Yastrzemski Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Sean Murphy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 41% | 45% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Jim Jarvis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Jorge Polanco Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Jorge Polanco Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 7% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 38% | 20% |
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 28% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Matt Olson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 3% | 41% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 20% | — | 21% | 11% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 3% | 34% |
Christian Scott Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 17% | 17% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 8% | 24% |
Bryce Elder Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 16% | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 10% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 9% | 16% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 5% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 14% | 9% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 9% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 10% |
Mike Yastrzemski Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | 15% |
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Mauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jim Jarvis Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 6% | — |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Jorge Polanco Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Atlanta Braves | 1% | 2% | 25% | 2% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Bryce Elder Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryce Elder Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryce Elder Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Scott Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bryce Elder Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Scott Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Mike Yastrzemski Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Mike Yastrzemski Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets
93.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the New York M vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 10 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; Atlanta Braves: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 25.0¢ on Polymarket, 2.1¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 24.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Mets at 93.3¢ implies about a 93.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.