About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12
This market resolved on 2026-08-12. Atlanta Braves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Mauricio Dubon Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 51% | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 99% |
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Sean Murphy Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Michael Harris II Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Lane Thomas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 94% |
Drake Baldwin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Ozzie Albies Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 90% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Matt Olson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 76% | 99% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Atlanta BravesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 75% | 97% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 81% |
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 85% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 83% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 73% | 92% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 72% | 84% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 76% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Tyler Mahle Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 75% | — |
Austin Riley Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 47% | 99% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 56% | 89% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Mauricio Dubon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jorge Polanco Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 51% | 81% |
Michael Harris II Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 49% | 77% |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Jared Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Lane Thomas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Tyler Mahle Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 60% | 60% |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Sean Murphy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Tyler Mahle Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 58% | 58% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 29% | 82% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Lane Thomas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 54% | — |
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Zac Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 52% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Lane Thomas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Zac Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 71% | 26% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Lane Thomas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 47% | — |
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 46% |
Tyler Mahle Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 42% | 49% |
Jorge Polanco Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 40% | 41% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 49% | 28% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 51% | 26% |
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 37% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | 50% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 44% | 22% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 32% |
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 54% | 7% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 29% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 28% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 52% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 27% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Matt Olson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 25% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 28% | 20% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 11% |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 23% |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 24% | 8% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Lane Thomas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 14% |
Matt Olson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 14% | 6% |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 7% |
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 9% |
New York Mets | 1% | 1% | 13% | 6% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 8% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 8% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 10% | 5% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 7% |
Mauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Sean Murphy Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 5% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Austin Riley Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Drake Baldwin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Matt Olson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ozzie Albies Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Sean Murphy Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Sean Murphy Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | — |
Atlanta Braves
92.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the New York M vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Atlanta Braves: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 75.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 12.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.2¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 24.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Atlanta Braves at 92.7¢ implies about a 92.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.