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Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Chicago White Sox Wins: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23

This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Chicago White Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.

About This Market

New York Mets vs.

New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Christopher Morel Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Eric Wagaman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Jake Rogers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Nolan McLean Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Nolan McLean Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Total under 10.5
———97%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Eric Wagaman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Total under 6.5
———95%
Total under 7.5
——91%99%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5
———93%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———92%
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%95%
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Total under 11.5
———91%
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Total under 8.5
——99%90%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Total under 5.5
———90%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———89%
Total under 9.5
——83%95%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—88%—
Total under 8.0
———88%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5
——81%94%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5
———86%
Total under 9.0
———85%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——79%88%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——73%87%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5
——82%78%
Nolan McLean Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—77%—
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——73%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Tristan Peters Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Eric Wagaman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
80%——54%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Nolan McLean Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——54%72%
Christopher Morel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Nolan McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—59%65%
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——61%
Eric Wagaman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——61%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———61%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Chicago White SoxWINNER
99%52%96%60%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0
———59%
Total over 3.5
1%——59%
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Drew Romo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%——57%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——51%
Drew Romo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——50%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——50%
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——50%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——50%
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——48%
Total over 2.5
99%——48%
Total over 4.5
1%——47%
Nolan McLean Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—46%99%
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
47%——44%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Christopher Morel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——45%
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
New York Mets
1%49%4%44%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———44%
Nolan McLean Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——41%43%
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——42%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0
———41%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——39%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——38%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——36%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs
33%———
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
1%—18%31%
Total over 9.0
———23%
Nolan McLean Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——23%—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
1%——22%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—27%17%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—21%20%
Total over 8.0
———20%
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——19%
Total over 5.5
1%——17%
Total over 11.5
1%——17%
Total over 8.5
1%—1%15%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5
———15%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
1%—19%10%
Total over 9.5
1%—17%9%
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—18%8%
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Home Runs
10%——16%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5
———13%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—11%13%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
12%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Total over 10.5
1%——12%
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%7%
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—12%11%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%9%
Eric Wagaman Over 0.5 Home Runs
10%——9%
Total over 7.5
1%—9%9%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%6%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—19%9%
Total over 6.5
1%——9%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——8%
Chase Meidroth Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——11%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—8%8%
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—8%10%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—9%7%
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——7%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—8%6%
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——7%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——6%
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—2%—
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—1%—
Eric Wagaman Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—2%—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Nolan McLean Over 10.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nolan McLean Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nolan McLean Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Nolan McLean Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—0%—
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits
0%———
Andrew Benintendi Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits
0%———
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Christopher Morel Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Jake Rogers Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Nolan McLean Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread47.5%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Chicago White Sox

76.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago WS wins the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 2:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Chicago White Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket, 60.5¢ on ProphetX, 51.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket, 44.2¢ on ProphetX, 48.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 47.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox (2:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Chicago White Sox at 76.7¢ implies about a 76.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available