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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-12

This market resolved on 2026-09-12. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Gerrit Cole Over 0.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 1.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 2.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—	—
New York MetsWINNER	99%	38%	97%	100%	95%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	95%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	67%	92%	97%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	92%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	91%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	—	98%	81%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	96%	83%
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	87%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	84%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	98%	—	—	64%	83%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5	94%	—	—	—	73%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	82%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	80%
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	77%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	77%
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	—	75%
Aaron Judge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	73%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	72%	—	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	97%	—	65%	—	69%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	68%
Zac Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	68%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits	66%	—	—	—	—
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	66%
Anthony Volpe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	56%	99%	71%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	43%	100%	75%
Zac Thornton Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	58%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	99%	—	—	28%	88%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	55%
Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	54%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Total over 10.5	99%	—	50%	100%	55%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	51%	—	—	—	53%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	51%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	50%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	50%
Total under 10.5	—	—	51%	0%	49%
Aaron Judge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Zac Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	47%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	72%	15%
Total under 9.5	—	—	58%	0%	29%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	41%
Total under 8.5	—	—	44%	1%	33%
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	—	—	—
Zac Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	37%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	35%	—	35%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	34%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	32%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	36%	21%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	28%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits	25%	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	20%	—	—	—	21%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	19%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	18%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	18%
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	—	—
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	4%	22%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	2%	22%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	9%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	1%	—	33%	8%	7%
New York Yankees	1%	62%	3%	0%	7%
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits	4%	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 0.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—	—
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Anthony Volpe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 9.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jared Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York M wins the New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

New York Mets in New York Mets @ New York Yankees (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 12 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-12 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 95.2¢ on ProphetX, 38.0¢ on Polymarket US, 97.0¢ on Novig; New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 7.3¢ on ProphetX, 62.0¢ on Polymarket US, 3.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 61.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 85.8¢ implies about a 85.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

New York Mets Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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