About This Market
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-24
This market resolved on 2026-09-24. Texas Rangers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
New York Mets vs.
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zac Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 100% | — |
Josh Jung Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Corey Seager Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Corey Seager Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Josh Jung Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
Josh Jung Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Corey Seager Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Burger Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Morabito Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Morabito Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Wyatt Langford Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brett Baty Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brett Baty Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brett Baty Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Brett Baty Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Benge Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Benge Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Benge Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Benge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Corey Seager Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Corey Seager Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Corey Seager Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Danny Jansen Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Elias Diaz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Burger Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Burger Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Burger Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Burger Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Burger Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Josh Jung Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Josh Jung Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Josh Jung Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Justin Foscue Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Torrens Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Torrens Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Marcus Semien Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Morabito Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Morabito Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Nick Morabito Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 99% | — |
Wyatt Langford Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Wyatt Langford Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Wyatt Langford Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Wyatt Langford Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Texas Rangers spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | — |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% | — |
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 95% |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 93% |
Ezequiel Duran Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 91% | 94% |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 91% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 91% |
Josh Jung Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 89% | 92% |
Texas Rangers spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 90% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 88% | 91% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 89% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 88% |
Brandon Nimmo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 87% | 90% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 88% | 96% | 54% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 87% | 89% |
Justin Foscue Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 86% | 89% |
Jake Burger Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 87% |
Wyatt Langford Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% | 87% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | — | 86% |
Texas Rangers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 84% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 84% | — | — | 100% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 83% | 83% |
Corey Seager Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 81% | 83% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 82% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 80% |
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 76% | 80% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 77% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | — | 77% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 75% | 74% |
Nick Morabito Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 84% | — | — | 100% | 64% |
Texas Rangers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 69% | 77% |
Kumar Rocker Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 72% | — | — | 30% | 70% |
Zac Thornton Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 76% | 62% |
Kumar Rocker Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 77% | 59% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 67% |
Jake Burger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 67% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | 66% |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | 64% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 98% | 64% | 45% |
Corey Seager Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 0% | 64% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 100% | 64% |
Danny Jansen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | 63% |
Texas RangersWINNER | 99% | 55% | 99% | 99% | 72% |
Texas Rangers spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Elias Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | 63% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 87% | 38% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 62% |
Justin Foscue Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 75% | — | — | 100% | 48% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Wyatt Langford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 59% |
Zac Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | 67% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Corey Seager Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | 55% |
Brandon Nimmo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 55% |
Josh Jung Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | 55% |
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 53% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Josh Jung Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | 53% |
Kumar Rocker Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 56% | — | — | 50% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 99% | 52% |
Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | 52% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 100% | 52% |
Kumar Rocker Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 51% | — |
Kumar Rocker Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Kumar Rocker Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Kumar Rocker Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 50% | 46% |
Wyatt Langford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 100% | 47% |
Kumar Rocker Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 50% | 43% |
Texas Rangers spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 1% | 51% |
New York Mets | 1% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 46% |
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 0% | 46% |
Texas Rangers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 99% | 1% | 89% |
Ezequiel Duran Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | — | 47% |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | — | 45% |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 43% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 39% |
Jake Burger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — | 52% |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 36% | 57% |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — | — |
Zac Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 23% | 44% |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | 1% | 53% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 29% |
Kumar Rocker Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 7% | — | — | 50% | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | — | 50% | — |
Texas Rangers spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 27% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 27% |
Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% | 27% |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 25% | — | — | 1% | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 1% | 23% |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | 21% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 5% | 34% |
Corey Seager Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | 19% | 19% |
Nick Morabito Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 17% |
Jake Burger Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 1% | 17% |
Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 16% | 17% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 13% | 14% |
Justin Foscue Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 14% | 14% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 13% | 14% |
Elias Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | 13% |
A.J. Ewing Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 13% |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 1% | 12% |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | 0% | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | 1% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 12% | 4% | 49% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | 12% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 1% | 12% |
Josh Jung Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | 11% | 12% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% | 12% |
A.J. Ewing Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | 10% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 1% | 0% | 10% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | 1% | — |
Luis Torrens Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — | 9% |
Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | — | 9% | 8% |
Corey Seager Over 1.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | — | 2% | — |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — | 9% |
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 4% | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 2% | — |
Josh Jung Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 1% | — |
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 1% | — |
Jake Burger Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 1% | — |
Justin Foscue Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | 1% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Carson Benge Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Corey Seager Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Danny Jansen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Elias Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Jake Burger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Josh Jung Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Josh Jung Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Josh Jung Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Josh Jung Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Juan Soto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Justin Foscue Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 1% | — |
Justin Foscue Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Justin Foscue Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Marcus Semien Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Wyatt Langford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 1% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 1% | — |
Justin Foscue Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 1% | — |
Nick Morabito Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 1% | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 1% | — |
Corey Seager Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Corey Seager Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | 1% | — |
Nick Morabito Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 0% | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | 0% | — |
Zac Thornton Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 0% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Nimmo Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brett Baty Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Corey Seager Over 5.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Danny Jansen Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Elias Diaz Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Ezequiel Duran Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jake Burger Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Josh Jung Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Justin Foscue Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 12.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Kumar Rocker Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Luis Torrens Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Marcus Semien Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Morabito Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Wyatt Langford Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers
84.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Texas wins the New York M vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York M vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigTexas Rangers in New York Mets @ Texas Rangers (MLB); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 24 at 2:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs Texas Rangers MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-24 at 2:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Texas Rangers: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 72.2¢ on ProphetX, 54.5¢ on Polymarket US, 99.1¢ on Novig; New York Mets: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 45.8¢ on ProphetX, 45.5¢ on Polymarket US, 0.9¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 45.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Texas Rangers at 84.8¢ implies about a 84.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.