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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-18

This market resolved on 2026-09-18. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	99%	—
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Pavin Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Tim Tawa Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	98%	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	98%	—
Gerrit Cole Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	98%	—
Anthony Volpe Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Gerrit Cole Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Gerrit Cole Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 7.5	—	—	—	96%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	92%	98%
Gabriel Moreno Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	98%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	92%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	84%	98%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	91%	—
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	87%	93%
Ketel Marte Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	95%
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	89%	—
Nolan Arenado Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	90%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	87%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	90%
Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	87%
Lars Nootbaar Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	84%	87%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	85%
New York Yankees spread minus 5.5	—	—	—	85%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	—
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	84%	—
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	78%	89%
New York Yankees spread minus 6.5	—	—	—	83%
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	—
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	68%	97%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	—
Aaron Judge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	81%	—
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	—
Total over 6.5	99%	—	—	79%
Jordan Lawlar Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	74%
Total over 5.5	99%	—	—	73%
Total under 13.5	—	—	—	73%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	81%	59%
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	69%	—	—	—
Jordan Lawlar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	67%
Total over 10.5	99%	—	—	67%
Anthony Volpe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	66%
Total under 9.5	—	67%	66%	21%
Jordan Lawlar Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Austin Wells Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Pavin Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Tim Tawa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Total under 12.5	—	40%	—	88%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5	—	63%	63%	23%
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	61%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	61%
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Hits	60%	—	—	—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	59%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Home Runs	18%	—	99%	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Total over 12.5	1%	60%	—	54%
Nolan Arenado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	62%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	56%
Total under 8.5	—	56%	56%	20%
Lars Nootbaar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	56%
Geraldo Perdomo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	61%
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	60%
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	55%	53%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	54%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5	—	—	72%	35%
Aaron Judge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	52%	—	—	53%
Gabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	54%
Gabriel Moreno Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	53%
Ketel Marte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	53%
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	43%	60%
Total over 7.5	99%	52%	51%	91%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	51%
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	81%	19%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	—
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	—
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	—
Corbin Carroll Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	—
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	50%	51%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	50%	—
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	50%
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	49%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	49%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	50%	49%
Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	45%	53%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Total under 7.5	—	49%	49%	14%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	99%	—	29%	68%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5	—	46%	—	51%
Corbin Carroll Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	45%	—	50%	—
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	47%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	47%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	44%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Pavin Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Total over 8.5	99%	44%	44%	84%
Tim Tawa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	43%	45%
Anthony Volpe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	43%
Jordan Lawlar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	42%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	64%
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	41%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	41%
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	61%
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	28%	—	50%	—
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	99%	37%	38%	81%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	37%
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	36%	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	50%	—
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	36%
Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	19%	51%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	50%
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	19%	50%
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	50%	—
Total over 9.5	99%	33%	34%	84%
Nolan Arenado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	50%	—
Ketel Marte Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	50%	—
Total over 13.5	—	—	—	32%
Ketel Marte Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	50%	—
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	29%
Gerrit Cole Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	3%	54%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	25%
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits	25%	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs	24%	—	—	25%
Aaron Judge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 6.5	—	—	—	21%
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	21%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 5.5	—	—	—	20%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	19%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5	1%	—	32%	7%
Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	19%	—
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5	1%	—	22%	15%
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	19%	—
Lars Nootbaar Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	18%	—
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	18%	—
Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs	1%	—	—	17%
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	16%	—
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	16%	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	100%	—	15%	16%
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	15%	15%
Aaron Judge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	—
Lars Nootbaar Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	16%	13%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	14%
Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	19%	6%
Ketel Marte Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	6%	—	19%	—
Nolan Arenado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	6%	—	19%	—
Tim Tawa Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	12%
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	14%	10%
Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	12%	12%
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	12%
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	12%	—
Geraldo Perdomo Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Home Runs	5%	—	19%	10%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	13%	6%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	8%
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	9%	9%
New York Yankees spread minus 7.5	—	—	—	8%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	8%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	7%
Pavin Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	6%
Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	3%	—
Gerrit Cole Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	3%	—
Gerrit Cole Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	3%	—
Aaron Judge Over 3.5 Hits	2%	—	—	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	2%	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	2%	—
Gerrit Cole Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	2%	—
Gerrit Cole Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	2%	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	—
Corbin Carroll Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	1%	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits	0%	—	—	—
Arizona Diamondbacks	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Corbin Carroll Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—
Eduardo Rodriguez Over 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Ketel Marte Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
New York YankeesWINNER	—	—	—	—
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Nolan Arenado Over 1.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Nolan Arenado Over 2.5 Hits	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Arizona wins the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Arizona Diamondbacks in New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 18 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-18 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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