About This Market
Philadelphia Phillies vs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-12
This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Atlanta Braves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 57%.
Philadelphia Phillies vs.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 98% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 96% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 92% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 87% | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 86% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 84% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 82% | — | — | — | — |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 72% | 85% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 72% | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | — | — | 56% | 78% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 66% | 55% | 90% |
Total over 8.5 | 96% | — | 48% | 38% | 79% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 62% | 68% | 27% |
Ha-Seong Kim Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 59% | — | — | — | 62% |
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 21% | 96% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 58% | 41% | 78% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Mauricio Dubon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 53% | 62% | 26% |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Atlanta BravesWINNER | 100% | 49% | 57% | 44% | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies | 1% | 52% | 44% | 56% | 4% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 79% | 8% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 43% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 43% | 59% | 26% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs | 41% | — | — | — | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | 39% | 32% | 78% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | — | 38% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 38% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 44% | 26% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 35% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 34% | 45% | 14% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 28% | 19% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 20% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 19% | — | — | — | — |
Michael Harris II Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 15% |
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 13% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 12% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 11% | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 11.5 Strikeouts | 7% | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 7% |
Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin Riley Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Drake Baldwin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Matt Olson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ozzie Albies Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Tyler Mahle Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Atlanta Braves
69.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Atlanta wins the Philadelphia vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigAtlanta Braves in Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-12 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Atlanta Braves: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 48.5¢ on Polymarket US, 56.5¢ on Novig; Philadelphia Phillies: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 56.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.3¢ on ProphetX, 51.5¢ on Polymarket US, 43.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 55.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Atlanta Braves at 69.5¢ implies about a 69.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.