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Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-13

This market resolved on 2026-08-13. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Philadelphia Phillies vs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Aaron Nola Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Aaron Nola Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Trevor Larnach Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Luke Keaschall Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 6.5
———96%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5
———96%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5
———95%
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER
99%99%93%100%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5
99%——92%
Total over 5.5
99%——90%
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
90%———
Byron Buxton Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
90%———
Byron Buxton Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
90%———
Byron Buxton Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
90%———
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
90%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5
———90%
Total over 4.5
99%——89%
Total over 6.5
99%——89%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Ryan Jeffers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Josh Bell Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Aaron Nola Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—85%—
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 5.5
———83%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Royce Lewis Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Taj Bradley Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—83%—
Kody Clemens Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%99%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5
——76%83%
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—78%—
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5
——65%89%
Byron Buxton Under 0.5 Home Runs
——76%99%
Total under 12.5
———75%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs
——74%75%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5
99%—49%97%
Total over 7.5
99%——72%
Total under 11.5
———71%
Total over 7.0
———71%
Taj Bradley Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—70%—
Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—40%99%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5
99%—52%86%
Aaron Nola Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——60%78%
Taj Bradley Under 6.5 Strikeouts
———68%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Total under 10.5
——48%82%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Total under 9.5
——39%89%
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0
———62%
Aaron Nola Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—61%62%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5
———60%
Alan Roden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Luke Keaschall Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Luke Keaschall Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
59%———
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.0
———59%
Alan Roden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total under 9.0
———58%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%———
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total over 9.0
———53%
Total under 8.5
——27%78%
Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—52%52%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total over 8.5
1%—73%26%
Taj Bradley Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——48%51%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0
———45%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%———
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Trevor Larnach Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.0
———42%
Aaron Nola Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——39%44%
Taj Bradley Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%——41%
Total over 9.5
1%—61%16%
Total over 10.5
1%—52%22%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———37%
Total over 11.5
1%——35%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5
——48%19%
Total under 7.0
———33%
Total under 7.5
———33%
Taj Bradley Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——30%—
Total over 12.5
1%——30%
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
29%———
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5
——51%7%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—26%30%
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%——48%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 5.5
———26%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5
1%—36%16%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5
1%—24%21%
Aaron Nola Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——22%—
Total under 5.5
———21%
Taj Bradley Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——17%—
Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—24%8%
Luke Keaschall Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Total under 6.5
———16%
Aaron Nola Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——15%—
Total under 4.5
———15%
Kody Clemens Over 0.5 Home Runs
——18%11%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 4.5
———14%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—17%11%
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%9%
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5
———11%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—11%11%
Josh Bell Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%6%
Ryan Jeffers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%6%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 6.5
———10%
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5
1%——8%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%9%
Trevor Larnach Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Brooks Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Minnesota Twins
1%1%8%2%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Taj Bradley Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Taj Bradley Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Taj Bradley Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Brooks Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Byron Buxton Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Josh Bell Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kaelen Culpepper Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kody Clemens Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Royce Lewis Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Ryan Jeffers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Brooks Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brooks Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Josh Bell Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Kaelen Culpepper Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kaelen Culpepper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Kody Clemens Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Royce Lewis Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ryan Jeffers Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread7.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Philadelphia Phillies

97.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Minnesota wins the Philadelphia vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 13 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-13 at 7:30PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 92.5¢ on Polymarket, 99.5¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Minnesota Twins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 7.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (7:30 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 97.5¢ implies about a 97.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available