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Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

MLB·2026-09-15

Best price · tap to trade

Philadelphia Phillies1¢100.00xKalshiWashington Nationals33¢3.03xNovig

About This Market

Traders give Philadelphia Phillies about a 39.8% chance. Washington Nationals follows at 73.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 67.4 percentage points.

Traders give Philadelphia Phillies about a 39.8% chance. Washington Nationals follows at 73.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 67.4 percentage points.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET): MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
Washington NationalsWashington NationalsARB
72%
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket US36¢
Novig33¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX98¢
Novig3.08x33¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
35.0%34¢36¢64¢66¢
NovigNovig
32.0%31¢33¢67¢69¢
PolymarketPolymarket
99.0%98¢100¢0¢2¢
ProphetXProphetX
97.0%96¢98¢2¢4¢
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia PhilliesARB
39%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US64¢
Novig68¢
Polymarket63¢
ProphetX4¢
Kalshi200.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
63.0%62¢64¢36¢38¢
NovigNovig
67.0%66¢68¢32¢34¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
ProphetXProphetX
3.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Spread

ARB 57¢
Best price
PHI +2.5
Kalshi0¢
Novig86¢
Polymarket79¢
ProphetX29¢
ProphetX3.45x29¢
WSH -2.5
Kalshi100¢
Novig14¢
Polymarket21¢
ProphetX76¢
Novig7.14x14¢

Totals

ARB 64¢
Best price
O 9.5
Kalshi1¢
Novig65¢
Polymarket100¢
ProphetX18¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
U 9.5
Kalshi99¢
Novig36¢
Polymarket61¢
ProphetX86¢
Novig2.82x36¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread67.4%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Philadelphia Phillies

39.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Philadelphia Phillies in Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 15 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 6:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 63.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 64.0¢ on Polymarket US, 67.5¢ on Novig; Washington Nationals: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.8¢ on ProphetX, 36.0¢ on Polymarket US, 32.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 67.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 39.8¢ implies about a 39.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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