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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Alec Bohm Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Brady House Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
James Wood Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
James Wood Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
James Wood Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	100%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Zack Wheeler Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Zack Wheeler Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Bryce Harper Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Luis Arraez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	—
Trea Turner Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Trea Turner Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	98%
Total under 8.5	—	—	58%	97%	98%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	97%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	96%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	96%
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	95%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	95%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	100%	95%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	94%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	91%	96%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	93%	87%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	97%
James Wood Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	99%
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	96%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5	99%	—	68%	0%	97%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alec Bohm Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Harper Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Daylen Lile Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
J.T. Realmuto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
James Wood Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
James Wood Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
James Wood Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Luis Arraez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Jared Simpson Over 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	77%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	74%
Trea Turner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	66%
Total under 7.5	—	—	48%	100%	99%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	64%
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	72%
Luis Arraez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	63%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	71%
Jared Simpson Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	71%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	71%
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER	100%	57%	83%	100%	100%
James Wood Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	58%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	55%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	67%
Total under 5.5	—	—	60%	—	73%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	66%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	50%
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Yohandy Morales Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	61%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	55%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	—	55%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	93%	17%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	55%
Zack Wheeler Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	54%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—	53%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	53%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	52%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	50%	—	—	19%	65%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	50%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5	1%	—	—	91%	8%
Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	1%	49%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5	100%	—	48%	4%	89%
Yohandy Morales Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	5%	88%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	46%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	46%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	46%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
James Wood Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	80%	8%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	68%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	43%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	43%	97%	7%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	42%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	41%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	38%
James Wood Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	54%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	49%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5	—	—	52%	0%	14%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	53%	1%	11%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	45%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	44%
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	19%	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	28%	—	—	19%	60%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	27%
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	—
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	34%	—	—	19%	—
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	32%	—	—	19%	—
James Wood Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	27%	—	—	19%	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	1%	—
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5	—	—	32%	1%	10%
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	1%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	20%	—
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	19%	—
James Wood Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	19%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Daylen Lile Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
James Wood Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Luis Arraez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Brady House Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	1%	18%
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	19%	—
Zack Wheeler Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	—
Washington Nationals	1%	43%	18%	100%	3%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	100%	15%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	18%	12%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	18%	13%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	11%
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	0%	—
Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Strikeouts	4%	—	—	18%	—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	20%	—
Total over 6.5	1%	—	—	5%	16%
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	1%	15%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	1%	9%
James Wood Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	8%	—	—	0%	—
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	7%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	0%	11%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	0%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Bryce Harper Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
Zack Wheeler Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	0%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Alec Bohm Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Kyle Schwarber Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Luis Arraez Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Trea Turner Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
J.T. Realmuto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Kyle Schwarber Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Arraez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Trea Turner Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Washington wins the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Washington Nationals in Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 6:45PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.6¢ on ProphetX, 57.0¢ on Polymarket US, 82.5¢ on Novig; Washington Nationals: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 3.2¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Polymarket US, 17.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 87.7¢ implies about a 87.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Philadelphia Phillies Wins: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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