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Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Los Angeles Dodgers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bubba Chandler Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Hunter Feduccia Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Teoscar Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Tommy Edman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 98% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Andy Pages Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 94% |
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 89% | 96% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 RBIs | 92% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 87% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Kyle Tucker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 98% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Mookie Betts Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 86% |
Shohei Ohtani Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 74% | 97% |
Max Muncy Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 84% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 96% | 71% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 73% | 85% |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 78% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 78% |
Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 76% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 77% | 75% |
Bubba Chandler Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 42% | 99% |
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 89% | — | — | 50% |
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Los Angeles DodgersWINNER | 99% | 79% | 67% | 67% |
Tommy Edman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 49% | 84% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 65% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Freddie Freeman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 64% |
Andy Pages Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Hunter Feduccia Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Teoscar Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Kyle Tucker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 70% | 53% |
Hunter Feduccia Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 60% |
Bubba Chandler Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 60% | — |
Mookie Betts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 59% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 59% |
Shohei Ohtani Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 58% |
Mookie Betts Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 58% | — | — | — |
Henry Davis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 52% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 4% | 99% |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 51% |
Hunter Feduccia Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 37% | 61% |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Teoscar Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Andy Pages Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 7% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 61% | 32% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Tommy Edman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Hunter Feduccia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 30% | 57% |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 45% | 39% |
Bubba Chandler Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 39% | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 52% | 20% |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 1% | 22% | 34% | 36% |
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | 48% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 30% |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 40% | 19% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 29% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 24% | 34% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 28% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 26% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 25% |
Freddie Freeman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 24% |
Los Angeles D wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 22% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 27% | 13% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Mookie Betts Over 3.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Andy Pages Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 14% |
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 20% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Teoscar Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 5.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 4.5 Total Bases | 11% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 9% |
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 6% |
Freddie Freeman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Kyle Tucker Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | 8% |
Mookie Betts Over 4.5 Total Bases | 9% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 8% |
Hunter Feduccia Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Tommy Edman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 5.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 5% |
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 3.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 3.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 2% | 8% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 6% | 5% |
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 3% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 2% | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Shohei Ohtani Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Freddie Freeman Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Mookie Betts Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
Los Angeles Dodgers
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Los Angeles D wins the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 21 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 10:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Los Angeles Dodgers: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 66.5¢ on Polymarket, 67.1¢ on ProphetX, 78.5¢ on Polymarket US; Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 34.0¢ on Polymarket, 36.2¢ on ProphetX, 21.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 35.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Los Angeles Dodgers at 77.8¢ implies about a 77.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.