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Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Los Angeles Dodgers Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23

This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Los Angeles Dodgers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Los Angeles DodgersWINNER
99%100%100%100%
Lake Bachar Over 0.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Blake Snell Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Blake Snell Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Freddie Freeman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 1.5
99%—100%97%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 4.5
———97%
Max Muncy Under 1.5 Home Runs
——96%—
Total under 9.5
——98%92%
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%91%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 3.5
———93%
Total under 10.5
———92%
Total under 8.0
———91%
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Total under 6.5
———91%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 2.5
——88%92%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 2.5
99%—99%89%
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———89%
Total under 11.5
———89%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 1.5
——86%91%
Mookie Betts Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Total under 4.5
———88%
Total under 7.5
——88%87%
Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———86%
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Shohei Ohtani Under 0.5 Home Runs
——73%96%
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———83%
Total under 8.5
——70%92%
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Mookie Betts Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Los Angeles Dodgers spread plus 1.0
———80%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5
———80%
Max Muncy Under 0.5 Home Runs
——77%80%
Los Angeles D wins by over 3.5 runs
99%——77%
Tommy Edman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Mookie Betts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Total under 5.5
———74%
Jared Triolo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases
71%———
Blake Snell Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—68%—
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 1.0
———68%
Lake Bachar Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%——67%
Alek Thomas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Kyle Tucker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Teoscar Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Blake Snell Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%66%
Hunter Feduccia Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——64%
Shohei Ohtani Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Shohei Ohtani Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
59%———
Lake Bachar Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——81%36%
Blake Snell Under 8.5 Strikeouts
——51%65%
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
56%——58%
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
56%———
Lake Bachar Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—41%67%
Max Muncy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Max Muncy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
49%———
Freddie Freeman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Blake Snell Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%—49%44%
Alek Thomas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 RBIs
44%———
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
53%——34%
Blake Snell Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%44%
Teoscar Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Hunter Feduccia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 RBIs
42%———
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0
———37%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
Tommy Edman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———34%
Total over 4.5
1%——31%
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———30%
Total over 5.5
1%——30%
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 Hits
29%———
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———28%
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 RBIs
28%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5
———27%
Freddie Freeman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
27%———
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Hits
26%———
Nick Yorke Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———25%
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
25%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——47%
Max Muncy Over 0.5 Home Runs
——23%25%
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—27%20%
Los Angeles Dodgers spread minus 4.5
———23%
Total over 8.5
1%—30%16%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0
———23%
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———22%
Total over 11.5
1%——22%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5
——1%21%
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Total over 6.5
1%——20%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Max Muncy Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Mookie Betts Over 3.5 Total Bases
20%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Freddie Freeman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Total over 7.5
1%—12%21%
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases
16%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 4.5 Total Bases
16%———
Total over 8.0
———15%
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 RBIs
15%———
Mookie Betts Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5
1%—14%14%
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 RBIs
14%———
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
14%—4%15%
Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%7%
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases
13%———
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%5%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5
——0%12%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
12%———
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 5.5 Total Bases
12%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5
1%—12%12%
Blake Snell Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs
11%———
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Hits
11%———
Total over 10.5
1%——11%
Mookie Betts Over 4.5 Total Bases
10%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5
1%——10%
Total over 9.5
1%—2%16%
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—16%8%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%6%
Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—12%4%
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——10%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—7%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5
———7%
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Hits
7%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Hits
7%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Alek Thomas Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——8%
Hunter Feduccia Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——11%
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Freddie Freeman Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Freddie Freeman Over 5.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——6%
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Mookie Betts Over 5.5 Total Bases
6%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Tommy Edman Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——8%
Kyle Tucker Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—11%5%
Blake Snell Over 12.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases
5%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—5%—
Nick Yorke Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——7%
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—5%6%
Teoscar Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——4%
Blake Snell Over 10.5 Strikeouts
4%———
Blake Snell Over 11.5 Strikeouts
4%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—14%4%
Pittsburgh Pirates
1%1%0%3%
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Blake Snell Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 RBIs
1%———
Lake Bachar Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Lake Bachar Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Lake Bachar Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Mookie Betts Over 2.5 RBIs
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases
1%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Shohei Ohtani Over 2.5 RBIs
1%———
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Freddie Freeman Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Freddie Freeman Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Mookie Betts Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Los Angeles Dodgers

99.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Pittsburgh wins the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Los Angeles Dodgers: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.5¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Los Angeles Dodgers at 99.5¢ implies about a 99.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available