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Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (8:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (8:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. St. Louis Cardinals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (8:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jared Jones Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jared Jones Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
St. Louis CardinalsWINNER | 99% | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Jared Jones Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 97% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 97% |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Jared Triolo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Jared Jones Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 94% | — |
Quinn Mathews Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 94% | — |
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 90% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 92% |
Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 85% | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 70% | 96% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 62% | 98% |
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 78% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 62% | 92% |
Jared Jones Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 73% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 72% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 49% | 90% |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 69% |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 66% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 66% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 76% | — | — | 54% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 64% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — |
Jared Triolo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Nick Yorke Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits | 58% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 34% | 82% |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 99% |
Quinn Mathews Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 36% | 73% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 54% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 44% | 63% |
Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 52% | — | — | 52% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 79% | 25% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 22% | 80% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 51% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 50% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 49% |
Quinn Mathews Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 45% | 51% |
Quinn Mathews Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 45% | 51% |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 46% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 69% | 22% |
Jared Triolo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 44% |
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 44% |
Jared Jones Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 44% | 42% |
Jared Jones Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Jared Triolo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 40% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 38% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Quinn Mathews Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 36% | 35% |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 51% | 17% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 38% | 15% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 40% | 9% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 30% | 12% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 28% | 8% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 15% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 14% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | 96% | 14% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 14% | — | 0% | 9% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 89% | 10% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 6% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 5% | 14% |
Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | 11% | 9% |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 11% | 9% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 9% |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 11% | 8% |
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 10% | 8% |
Nick Yorke Over 0.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 8% | 8% |
Quinn Mathews Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 8% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Jared Jones Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 6% | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 6% | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 6% | — |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | 9% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 85% | 5% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | 8% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | 7% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 5% | 9% |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 4% | 7% |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Quinn Mathews Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jared Jones Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Quinn Mathews Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jared Jones Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
St. Louis Cardinals
99.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 28 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 8:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are St. Louis Cardinals: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.8¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, St. Louis Cardinals at 99.2¢ implies about a 99.2% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.