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Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19

This market resolved on 2026-08-19. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

San Francisco Giants vs.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Victor Bericoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Angel Genao Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Parker Messick Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Parker Messick Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Parker Messick Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Parker Messick Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Parker Messick Over 9.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Willy Adames Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Buddy Kennedy Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Nathaniel Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Petey Halpin Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Total under 11.5
———99%
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
Total under 5.5
———95%
Total under 7.5
——97%92%
Victor Bericoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5
——99%92%
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5
——90%93%
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5
———90%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5
——92%88%
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs
———87%
San Francisco GiantsWINNER
99%92%99%80%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0
———84%
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———84%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5
——0%84%
Total under 4.5
———82%
Total under 8.5
——98%62%
Total under 6.5
——80%80%
Total under 10.5
———78%
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Total under 3.5
———76%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5
———72%
Total under 9.5
———72%
Total under 7.0
———71%
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0
———69%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Willy Adames Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Victor Bericoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Angel Genao Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Parker Messick Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%65%
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Austin Hedges Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jose Ramirez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Willy Adames Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Matt Wilkinson Under 3.5 Strikeouts
———61%
Petey Halpin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Victor Bericoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total under 8.0
———58%
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Buddy Kennedy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Buddy Kennedy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Parker Messick Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%52%
Victor Bericoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
52%——52%
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5
1%—90%11%
Parker Messick Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%49%
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——49%
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——47%
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Angel Genao Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Matt Wilkinson Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———45%
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Petey Halpin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——44%
Total over 8.0
———43%
Willy Adames Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Willy Adames Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Victor Bericoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Parker Messick Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%39%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0
———38%
Total over 7.0
———37%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———32%
Total over 9.5
1%——29%
Total over 3.5
1%——28%
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——27%
Total over 2.5
1%——26%
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———25%
Total over 10.5
1%——24%
Parker Messick Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——23%—
Total over 6.5
1%—20%25%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0
———22%
Total over 4.5
1%——22%
Total over 1.5
1%——22%
Total over 8.5
1%—2%40%
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Total over 11.5
1%——17%
Total over 5.5
1%——16%
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs
13%——16%
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——12%
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5
1%—1%12%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5
3%—11%21%
Total over 7.5
1%—3%18%
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5
1%—2%18%
Victor Bericoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%8%
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%6%
Angel Genao Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Cleveland Guardians
1%9%8%22%
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Buddy Kennedy Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Petey Halpin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%7%
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Austin Hedges Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%6%
Willy Adames Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%6%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5
3%——8%
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——5%
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Steven Kwan Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Victor Bericoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Parker Messick Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread21.3%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

San Francisco Giants

92.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cleveland wins the San Francisco vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-19 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 79.5¢ on ProphetX, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Cleveland Guardians: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.0¢ on Polymarket, 22.3¢ on ProphetX, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 21.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Francisco Giants at 92.3¢ implies about a 92.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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